Trader consensus crowns Israel as the frontrunner for Eurovision 2026 televote winner at 36.5% implied probability, fueled by their dominant 2024 public vote triumph with Eden Golan's "Hurricane," which harnessed massive diaspora mobilization and fan fervor despite geopolitical tensions. Greece sits at 18% on enduring Balkan voting bloc strength and consistent regional televote surges, while Finland's 11.5% draws from Käärijä's explosive 2023 momentum and Nordic fan loyalty. With no entries confirmed amid early national selection buzz starting January 2025, these odds reflect historical patterns favoring high-energy pop anthems and international support networks. Polymarket traders anticipate shifts from song reveals and promotional campaigns, underscoring the contest's volatile public sentiment.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoEurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Israel 37%
Greece 18%
Finland 12%
France 5.8%
$3,305,623 Vol.
$3,305,623 Vol.

Israel
37%

Greece
18%

Finland
12%

France
6%

Denmark
5%

Sweden
4%

Ukraine
4%

Moldova
3%

Bulgaria
2%

Italy
2%

Germany
1%

Cyprus
1%

Australia
1%

Switzerland
1%

Romania
1%

Poland
1%

Malta
1%

Croatia
1%

Montenegro
1%

San Marino
1%

Austria
1%

Belgium
1%

Luxembourg
1%

Estonia
1%

Azerbaijan
1%

United Kingdom
<1%

Czechia
<1%

Albania
<1%

Serbia
<1%

Latvia
<1%

Lithuania
<1%

Norway
<1%

Portugal
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Georgia
<1%
Israel 37%
Greece 18%
Finland 12%
France 5.8%
$3,305,623 Vol.
$3,305,623 Vol.

Israel
37%

Greece
18%

Finland
12%

France
6%

Denmark
5%

Sweden
4%

Ukraine
4%

Moldova
3%

Bulgaria
2%

Italy
2%

Germany
1%

Cyprus
1%

Australia
1%

Switzerland
1%

Romania
1%

Poland
1%

Malta
1%

Croatia
1%

Montenegro
1%

San Marino
1%

Austria
1%

Belgium
1%

Luxembourg
1%

Estonia
1%

Azerbaijan
1%

United Kingdom
<1%

Czechia
<1%

Albania
<1%

Serbia
<1%

Latvia
<1%

Lithuania
<1%

Norway
<1%

Portugal
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Georgia
<1%
This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 19, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus crowns Israel as the frontrunner for Eurovision 2026 televote winner at 36.5% implied probability, fueled by their dominant 2024 public vote triumph with Eden Golan's "Hurricane," which harnessed massive diaspora mobilization and fan fervor despite geopolitical tensions. Greece sits at 18% on enduring Balkan voting bloc strength and consistent regional televote surges, while Finland's 11.5% draws from Käärijä's explosive 2023 momentum and Nordic fan loyalty. With no entries confirmed amid early national selection buzz starting January 2025, these odds reflect historical patterns favoring high-energy pop anthems and international support networks. Polymarket traders anticipate shifts from song reveals and promotional campaigns, underscoring the contest's volatile public sentiment.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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Frequently Asked Questions