Trader consensus on Polymarket crowns Israel as the early frontrunner for Eurovision 2026 televote winner at 36% implied probability, propelled by its powerhouse public voting history—Eden Golan secured second in the 2024 televote despite a low jury score, fueled by massive diaspora turnout from Europe, the US, and beyond amid geopolitical buzz. Greece trails at 18%, leveraging its dedicated fanbase and consistent televote surges in recent contests like 2024's strong showing, while Finland's 11.5% echoes Käärijä's record-shattering 2023 televote (over 370 points). No national selections have launched yet, leaving the market volatile ahead of early 2026 announcements, where song quality, staging, and voting blocs could reshape dynamics.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoEurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Israel 36%
Greece 18%
Finland 12%
Moldova 4.0%
$3,581,112 Vol.
$3,581,112 Vol.
May 16, 2026
Israel
36%
Greece
18%
Finland
12%
Moldova
4%
France
4%
Ukraine
4%
Denmark
4%
Sweden
4%
Bulgaria
2%
Italy
2%
Germany
1%
Cyprus
1%
Poland
1%
Romania
1%
Switzerland
1%
Malta
1%
Australia
1%
Montenegro
1%
San Marino
1%
Croatia
1%
Austria
1%
Estonia
1%
Luxembourg
1%
Belgium
1%
United Kingdom
<1%
Azerbaijan
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Albania
<1%
Serbia
<1%
Latvia
<1%
Lithuania
<1%
Norway
<1%
Portugal
<1%
Armenia
<1%
Georgia
<1%
Israel 36%
Greece 18%
Finland 12%
Moldova 4.0%
$3,581,112 Vol.
$3,581,112 Vol.
May 16, 2026
Israel
$7,560 Vol.
36%
Greece
$3,210 Vol.
18%
Finland
$4,095 Vol.
12%
Moldova
$232,935 Vol.
4%
France
$479,118 Vol.
4%
Ukraine
$4,117 Vol.
4%
Denmark
$297,823 Vol.
4%
Sweden
$1,871,816 Vol.
4%
Bulgaria
$2,394 Vol.
2%
Italy
$11,372 Vol.
2%
Germany
$36,861 Vol.
1%
Cyprus
$67,166 Vol.
1%
Poland
$189,747 Vol.
1%
Romania
$4,046 Vol.
1%
Switzerland
$11,706 Vol.
1%
Malta
$16,750 Vol.
1%
Australia
$24,636 Vol.
1%
Montenegro
$13,500 Vol.
1%
San Marino
$3,582 Vol.
1%
Croatia
$14,962 Vol.
1%
Austria
$2,477 Vol.
1%
Estonia
$169,096 Vol.
1%
Luxembourg
$35,508 Vol.
1%
Belgium
$28,217 Vol.
1%
United Kingdom
$2,365 Vol.
<1%
Azerbaijan
$15,566 Vol.
<1%
Czechia
$2,197 Vol.
<1%
Albania
$3,062 Vol.
<1%
Serbia
$2,659 Vol.
<1%
Latvia
$4,588 Vol.
<1%
Lithuania
$3,274 Vol.
<1%
Norway
$2,795 Vol.
<1%
Portugal
$4,053 Vol.
<1%
Armenia
$4,864 Vol.
<1%
Georgia
$3,534 Vol.
<1%
The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.
This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket crowns Israel as the early frontrunner for Eurovision 2026 televote winner at 36% implied probability, propelled by its powerhouse public voting history—Eden Golan secured second in the 2024 televote despite a low jury score, fueled by massive diaspora turnout from Europe, the US, and beyond amid geopolitical buzz. Greece trails at 18%, leveraging its dedicated fanbase and consistent televote surges in recent contests like 2024's strong showing, while Finland's 11.5% echoes Käärijä's record-shattering 2023 televote (over 370 points). No national selections have launched yet, leaving the market volatile ahead of early 2026 announcements, where song quality, staging, and voting blocs could reshape dynamics.
The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.
This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 19, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
Volume
$3,581,112Data de Término
May 16, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 19, 2026, 7:40 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.
This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket crowns Israel as the early frontrunner for Eurovision 2026 televote winner at 36% implied probability, propelled by its powerhouse public voting history—Eden Golan secured second in the 2024 televote despite a low jury score, fueled by massive diaspora turnout from Europe, the US, and beyond amid geopolitical buzz. Greece trails at 18%, leveraging its dedicated fanbase and consistent televote surges in recent contests like 2024's strong showing, while Finland's 11.5% echoes Käärijä's record-shattering 2023 televote (over 370 points). No national selections have launched yet, leaving the market volatile ahead of early 2026 announcements, where song quality, staging, and voting blocs could reshape dynamics.
The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.
This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$3,581,112Data de Término
May 16, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 19, 2026, 7:40 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket crowns Israel as the early frontrunner for Eurovision 2026 televote winner at 36% implied probability, propelled by its powerhouse public voting history—Eden Golan secured second in the 2024 televote despite a low jury score, fueled by massive diaspora turnout from Europe, the US, and beyond amid geopolitical buzz. Greece trails at 18%, leveraging its dedicated fanbase and consistent televote surges in recent contests like 2024's strong showing, while Finland's 11.5% echoes Käärijä's record-shattering 2023 televote (over 370 points). No national selections have launched yet, leaving the market volatile ahead of early 2026 announcements, where song quality, staging, and voting blocs could reshape dynamics.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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