Israel's entry "Michelle" by Noam Bettan commands a 34% implied probability for the Eurovision 2026 televote win following its March 5 release, driven by its infectious pop hooks, strong early streaming numbers (over 1.2 million YouTube views), and historical diaspora voting strength that propelled recent Israeli successes. Greece's Akylas with upbeat "Ferto"—fresh off a February national final victory—and Finland's dynamic duo Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen delivering violin-fueled "Liekinheitin" tie at 18.5%, fueled by viral performances and broad public buzz on social platforms. In this wide-open field with many national selections wrapping up, trader sentiment hinges on staging potential, diaspora blocs, and pre-event rehearsals ahead of Vienna's May grand final, where upsets remain likely given televote volatility.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoEurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Israel 33%
Finland 19%
Greece 18%
France 5.5%
$4,939,457 Vol.
$4,939,457 Vol.

Israel
33%

Finland
19%

Greece
18%

France
5%

Italy
5%

Ukraine
4%

Moldova
3%

Romania
3%

Sweden
2%

Denmark
1%

Cyprus
1%

Australia
1%

Germany
1%

Switzerland
1%

San Marino
1%

Bulgaria
1%

Poland
1%

Austria
1%

Montenegro
1%

Croatia
1%

Malta
1%

Luxembourg
1%

Belgium
<1%

Estonia
<1%

United Kingdom
<1%

Serbia
<1%

Czechia
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Latvia
<1%

Lithuania
<1%

Azerbaijan
<1%

Norway
<1%

Portugal
<1%

Albania
<1%

Georgia
<1%
Israel 33%
Finland 19%
Greece 18%
France 5.5%
$4,939,457 Vol.
$4,939,457 Vol.

Israel
33%

Finland
19%

Greece
18%

France
5%

Italy
5%

Ukraine
4%

Moldova
3%

Romania
3%

Sweden
2%

Denmark
1%

Cyprus
1%

Australia
1%

Germany
1%

Switzerland
1%

San Marino
1%

Bulgaria
1%

Poland
1%

Austria
1%

Montenegro
1%

Croatia
1%

Malta
1%

Luxembourg
1%

Belgium
<1%

Estonia
<1%

United Kingdom
<1%

Serbia
<1%

Czechia
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Latvia
<1%

Lithuania
<1%

Azerbaijan
<1%

Norway
<1%

Portugal
<1%

Albania
<1%

Georgia
<1%
This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 19, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Israel's entry "Michelle" by Noam Bettan commands a 34% implied probability for the Eurovision 2026 televote win following its March 5 release, driven by its infectious pop hooks, strong early streaming numbers (over 1.2 million YouTube views), and historical diaspora voting strength that propelled recent Israeli successes. Greece's Akylas with upbeat "Ferto"—fresh off a February national final victory—and Finland's dynamic duo Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen delivering violin-fueled "Liekinheitin" tie at 18.5%, fueled by viral performances and broad public buzz on social platforms. In this wide-open field with many national selections wrapping up, trader sentiment hinges on staging potential, diaspora blocs, and pre-event rehearsals ahead of Vienna's May grand final, where upsets remain likely given televote volatility.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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Frequently Asked Questions