Israel's frontrunner status at 34% implied probability in the Eurovision 2026 televote market reflects traders' emphasis on their dominant 2024 public vote haul—topping the global televote despite a mid-pack jury finish—bolstered by a massive international diaspora and fanbase mobilization. Greece trails at 18.5% on similar momentum from runner-up televote points last year, fueled by strong support in key voting blocs like Australia and the UK. Finland's 11% share draws from Nordic solidarity and viral potential, while France and the Nordics hover lower amid a fragmented field. With national finals not kicking off until late 2025, odds hinge on entry quality and promotion, but historical televote patterns favor high-energy acts with broad streaming appeal and social buzz.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoEurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Israel 34%
Greece 18%
Finland 11%
France 6.0%
$2,450,251 Vol.
$2,450,251 Vol.

Israel
34%

Greece
18%

Finland
11%

France
6%

Sweden
5%

Moldova
5%

Denmark
5%

Ukraine
3%

Germany
2%

Cyprus
2%

Italy
2%

Bulgaria
2%

Montenegro
2%

Switzerland
1%

Australia
1%

Luxembourg
1%

Malta
1%

Romania
1%

Belgium
1%

Estonia
1%

Poland
1%

Croatia
1%

United Kingdom
<1%

Norway
<1%

Serbia
<1%

Latvia
<1%

Lithuania
<1%

Azerbaijan
<1%

Czechia
<1%

Portugal
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Albania
<1%

Austria
<1%

Georgia
<1%

San Marino
<1%
Israel 34%
Greece 18%
Finland 11%
France 6.0%
$2,450,251 Vol.
$2,450,251 Vol.

Israel
34%

Greece
18%

Finland
11%

France
6%

Sweden
5%

Moldova
5%

Denmark
5%

Ukraine
3%

Germany
2%

Cyprus
2%

Italy
2%

Bulgaria
2%

Montenegro
2%

Switzerland
1%

Australia
1%

Luxembourg
1%

Malta
1%

Romania
1%

Belgium
1%

Estonia
1%

Poland
1%

Croatia
1%

United Kingdom
<1%

Norway
<1%

Serbia
<1%

Latvia
<1%

Lithuania
<1%

Azerbaijan
<1%

Czechia
<1%

Portugal
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Albania
<1%

Austria
<1%

Georgia
<1%

San Marino
<1%
This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 19, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Israel's frontrunner status at 34% implied probability in the Eurovision 2026 televote market reflects traders' emphasis on their dominant 2024 public vote haul—topping the global televote despite a mid-pack jury finish—bolstered by a massive international diaspora and fanbase mobilization. Greece trails at 18.5% on similar momentum from runner-up televote points last year, fueled by strong support in key voting blocs like Australia and the UK. Finland's 11% share draws from Nordic solidarity and viral potential, while France and the Nordics hover lower amid a fragmented field. With national finals not kicking off until late 2025, odds hinge on entry quality and promotion, but historical televote patterns favor high-energy acts with broad streaming appeal and social buzz.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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