Israel's Noam Bettan with the emotive ballad "Michelle"—unveiled March 5—tops trader consensus at 36% implied probability for the Eurovision 2026 televote winner, driven by the country's reliable diaspora voting bloc and historical televote dominance, as seen in recent odds releases confirming its lead. Greece's Akylas surges to 18.5% on the upbeat "Ferto"'s viral national final performance and streaming traction post-MV drop. Finland's jury-favored "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen holds strong overall momentum from UMK triumph but trails in pure public appeal projections at 11%. France's Monroe debuted "Regarde!" live yesterday, eyeing upward shifts amid fragmented field; watch streaming metrics and remaining national finals for volatility before Vienna's May semis.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoEurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Israel 36%
Greece 19%
Finland 11%
France 8.1%
$4,278,071 Vol.
$4,278,071 Vol.

Israel
36%

Greece
19%

Finland
11%

France
8%

Denmark
4%

Moldova
4%

Sweden
3%

Ukraine
3%

Romania
2%

Italy
1%

Bulgaria
1%

Switzerland
1%

Germany
1%

Poland
1%

Austria
1%

Luxembourg
1%

San Marino
1%

Australia
1%

Malta
1%

Cyprus
1%

Montenegro
1%

Croatia
1%

Belgium
1%

Estonia
1%

United Kingdom
<1%

Czechia
<1%

Serbia
<1%

Azerbaijan
<1%

Portugal
<1%

Albania
<1%

Latvia
<1%

Lithuania
<1%

Norway
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Georgia
<1%
Israel 36%
Greece 19%
Finland 11%
France 8.1%
$4,278,071 Vol.
$4,278,071 Vol.

Israel
36%

Greece
19%

Finland
11%

France
8%

Denmark
4%

Moldova
4%

Sweden
3%

Ukraine
3%

Romania
2%

Italy
1%

Bulgaria
1%

Switzerland
1%

Germany
1%

Poland
1%

Austria
1%

Luxembourg
1%

San Marino
1%

Australia
1%

Malta
1%

Cyprus
1%

Montenegro
1%

Croatia
1%

Belgium
1%

Estonia
1%

United Kingdom
<1%

Czechia
<1%

Serbia
<1%

Azerbaijan
<1%

Portugal
<1%

Albania
<1%

Latvia
<1%

Lithuania
<1%

Norway
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Georgia
<1%
This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 19, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Israel's Noam Bettan with the emotive ballad "Michelle"—unveiled March 5—tops trader consensus at 36% implied probability for the Eurovision 2026 televote winner, driven by the country's reliable diaspora voting bloc and historical televote dominance, as seen in recent odds releases confirming its lead. Greece's Akylas surges to 18.5% on the upbeat "Ferto"'s viral national final performance and streaming traction post-MV drop. Finland's jury-favored "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen holds strong overall momentum from UMK triumph but trails in pure public appeal projections at 11%. France's Monroe debuted "Regarde!" live yesterday, eyeing upward shifts amid fragmented field; watch streaming metrics and remaining national finals for volatility before Vienna's May semis.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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