Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Australia at 32.5% implied probability for the Eurovision 2026 jury vote, closely trailed by France at 28%, reflecting the sophisticated ballad appeal of Delta Goodrem's "Eclipse"—unveiled March 1—and Monroe's operatic "Regarde!" from March 6, both embodying jury-preferred vocal drama and production polish. Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen climbs to 12.5% after dominating national jury polls and topping predictive models like The Model, while Denmark's folk-mature "Før vi går hjem" by Søren Torpegaard holds 8.5% on Nordic strength. Differentiators include staging potential and historical jury bias toward established artists over pop-heavy entries; with rehearsals and pre-parties looming before Vienna's May finale, momentum shifts remain likely in this tight field.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoEurovisão 2026: Vencedor do Júri
Eurovisão 2026: Vencedor do Júri
Austrália 33%
França 28%
Finlândia 13%
Dinamarca 9%
$597,252 Vol.
$597,252 Vol.
Austrália
33%
França
28%
Finlândia
13%
Dinamarca
9%
Chéquia
2%
Suécia
2%
Malta
2%
Ucrânia
1%
Letônia
1%
Israel
1%
Croácia
1%
Grécia
1%
Itália
1%
Sérvia
1%
Bulgária
1%
Alemanha
1%
Chipre
1%
Reino Unido
1%
Áustria
1%
Moldávia
1%
Montenegro
1%
Portugal
1%
Albânia
1%
Geórgia
<1%
Polónia
<1%
San Marino
<1%
Bélgica
<1%
Azerbaijão
<1%
Armênia
<1%
Estônia
<1%
Lituânia
<1%
Luxemburgo
<1%
Romênia
<1%
Suíça
<1%
Noruega
<1%
Austrália 33%
França 28%
Finlândia 13%
Dinamarca 9%
$597,252 Vol.
$597,252 Vol.
Austrália
33%
França
28%
Finlândia
13%
Dinamarca
9%
Chéquia
2%
Suécia
2%
Malta
2%
Ucrânia
1%
Letônia
1%
Israel
1%
Croácia
1%
Grécia
1%
Itália
1%
Sérvia
1%
Bulgária
1%
Alemanha
1%
Chipre
1%
Reino Unido
1%
Áustria
1%
Moldávia
1%
Montenegro
1%
Portugal
1%
Albânia
1%
Geórgia
<1%
Polónia
<1%
San Marino
<1%
Bélgica
<1%
Azerbaijão
<1%
Armênia
<1%
Estônia
<1%
Lituânia
<1%
Luxemburgo
<1%
Romênia
<1%
Suíça
<1%
Noruega
<1%
This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the professional juries in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 9, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the professional juries in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Australia at 32.5% implied probability for the Eurovision 2026 jury vote, closely trailed by France at 28%, reflecting the sophisticated ballad appeal of Delta Goodrem's "Eclipse"—unveiled March 1—and Monroe's operatic "Regarde!" from March 6, both embodying jury-preferred vocal drama and production polish. Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen climbs to 12.5% after dominating national jury polls and topping predictive models like The Model, while Denmark's folk-mature "Før vi går hjem" by Søren Torpegaard holds 8.5% on Nordic strength. Differentiators include staging potential and historical jury bias toward established artists over pop-heavy entries; with rehearsals and pre-parties looming before Vienna's May finale, momentum shifts remain likely in this tight field.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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