Spain's trader consensus lead at 15.8% stems from topping UEFA qualifiers unbeaten with +19 goal difference and Lamine Yamal's explosive form, bolstered by their Euro 2024 title and manageable Group H path against Uruguay, Saudi Arabia, and Cape Verde. England (12.8%), France (11.1%), Argentina (9.8%), and Brazil (8.6%) trail closely after dominant qualifying campaigns—England perfect in Group K, France cruising theirs, CONMEBOL stars like Argentina securing top-six spots—yet the expanded 48-team format advances top-two finishers plus eight best thirds, evening knockout paths amid tough draws like France's clash with Norway's Haaland and Senegal. Recent March friendlies, including France's 2-1 win over Brazil, and playoff resolutions underscore the wide-open field with Mbappé fitness concerns and veteran depth questions keeping probabilities bunched.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoEspanha 15.8%
Inglaterra 12.8%
França 11.1%
Argentina 9.8%
$415,923,738 Vol.
$415,923,738 Vol.
Espanha
16%
Inglaterra
13%
França
11%
Argentina
10%
Brasil
9%
Portugal
7%
Alemanha
5%
Holanda
3%
Noruega
3%
Itália
2%
Bélgica
2%
Colômbia
2%
EUA
2%
Marrocos
2%
Japão
1%
Uruguai
1%
México
1%
Croácia
1%
Suíça
1%
Equador
1%
Senegal
1%
Canadá
1%
Áustria
1%
Coreia do Sul
<1%
Paraguai
<1%
Costa do Marfim
<1%
Argélia
<1%
Escócia
<1%
Tunísia
<1%
Austrália
<1%
Arábia Saudita
<1%
Egito
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Jordânia
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Irã
<1%
Gana
<1%
África do Sul
<1%
Cabo Verde
<1%
Catar
<1%
Nova Zelândia
<1%
Uzbequistão
<1%
Espanha 15.8%
Inglaterra 12.8%
França 11.1%
Argentina 9.8%
$415,923,738 Vol.
$415,923,738 Vol.
Espanha
16%
Inglaterra
13%
França
11%
Argentina
10%
Brasil
9%
Portugal
7%
Alemanha
5%
Holanda
3%
Noruega
3%
Itália
2%
Bélgica
2%
Colômbia
2%
EUA
2%
Marrocos
2%
Japão
1%
Uruguai
1%
México
1%
Croácia
1%
Suíça
1%
Equador
1%
Senegal
1%
Canadá
1%
Áustria
1%
Coreia do Sul
<1%
Paraguai
<1%
Costa do Marfim
<1%
Argélia
<1%
Escócia
<1%
Tunísia
<1%
Austrália
<1%
Arábia Saudita
<1%
Egito
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Jordânia
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Irã
<1%
Gana
<1%
África do Sul
<1%
Cabo Verde
<1%
Catar
<1%
Nova Zelândia
<1%
Uzbequistão
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Spain's trader consensus lead at 15.8% stems from topping UEFA qualifiers unbeaten with +19 goal difference and Lamine Yamal's explosive form, bolstered by their Euro 2024 title and manageable Group H path against Uruguay, Saudi Arabia, and Cape Verde. England (12.8%), France (11.1%), Argentina (9.8%), and Brazil (8.6%) trail closely after dominant qualifying campaigns—England perfect in Group K, France cruising theirs, CONMEBOL stars like Argentina securing top-six spots—yet the expanded 48-team format advances top-two finishers plus eight best thirds, evening knockout paths amid tough draws like France's clash with Norway's Haaland and Senegal. Recent March friendlies, including France's 2-1 win over Brazil, and playoff resolutions underscore the wide-open field with Mbappé fitness concerns and veteran depth questions keeping probabilities bunched.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions