Bologna FC 1909 enters as the clear trader favorite at 58.5% implied probability against US Lecce, driven by their solid mid-table position around 9th in Serie A standings compared to Lecce's precarious 18th-place relegation fight. Hosting at Renato Dall'Ara provides a key home advantage, where Bologna has historically dominated head-to-head encounters (8 wins to Lecce's 1, 4 draws), including a recent 2-2 draw at Lecce in September 2025. Lecce faces a mounting injury crisis with key absences like Medon Berisha (season-ending thigh surgery), Lassana Coulibaly, Riccardo Sottil, Lameck Banda, Kialonda Gaspar, and Francesco Camarda, severely depleting midfield and attack depth ahead of this April 12 matchup. Bologna's own recoveries from Pobega and Odgaard muscle strains (2-3 week timelines) bolster their squad edge, while recent form underscores the visitors' vulnerability on the road. The 25% draw pricing reflects past stalemates, but Lecce's 16% underscores significant upset barriers.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

If Bologna FC 1909 wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 29, 2026, 7:01 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.legaseriea.it/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...

If Bologna FC 1909 wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 29, 2026, 7:01 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.legaseriea.it/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Bologna FC 1909 enters as the clear trader favorite at 58.5% implied probability against US Lecce, driven by their solid mid-table position around 9th in Serie A standings compared to Lecce's precarious 18th-place relegation fight. Hosting at Renato Dall'Ara provides a key home advantage, where Bologna has historically dominated head-to-head encounters (8 wins to Lecce's 1, 4 draws), including a recent 2-2 draw at Lecce in September 2025. Lecce faces a mounting injury crisis with key absences like Medon Berisha (season-ending thigh surgery), Lassana Coulibaly, Riccardo Sottil, Lameck Banda, Kialonda Gaspar, and Francesco Camarda, severely depleting midfield and attack depth ahead of this April 12 matchup. Bologna's own recoveries from Pobega and Odgaard muscle strains (2-3 week timelines) bolster their squad edge, while recent form underscores the visitors' vulnerability on the road. The 25% draw pricing reflects past stalemates, but Lecce's 16% underscores significant upset barriers.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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