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Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No 50¢
80.0 quotas$77.08$37.08 (92.7%)

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No 50¢
100.0 quotas50¢
74.2¢
$74.15$24.15 (48.3%)

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No 50¢
100.0 quotas$74.15$24.15 (48.3%)

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
No 50¢
80.0 quotas50¢
79.6¢
$63.64$23.64 (59.1%)

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
No 50¢
80.0 quotas$63.64$23.64 (59.1%)

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
No 95.1¢
40.0 quotas95.1¢
98¢
$39.18$1.14 (3%)

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
No 95.1¢
40.0 quotas$39.18$1.14 (3%)

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 50¢
100.0 quotas50¢
25.9¢
$25.85-$24.15 (-48.3%)

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 50¢
100.0 quotas$25.85-$24.15 (-48.3%)

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
No 81.3¢
30.0 quotas81.3¢
81.5¢
$24.45$0.05 (0.19%)

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
No 81.3¢
30.0 quotas$24.45$0.05 (0.19%)

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 50¢
80.0 quotas50¢
20.4¢
$16.35-$23.65 (-59.12%)

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 50¢
80.0 quotas$16.35-$23.65 (-59.12%)

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Yes 50¢
80.0 quotas$2.92-$37.08 (-92.7%)