Rumpelstiltskin

Joined Mar 2025·1.8K views

$21.8K

Positions Value

$9,790.51

Biggest Win

230

Markets Traded

Total PnL: +$23.7K
Total Volume: 657.8K

Profit/Loss

-$62.88

Past Day

Market

Avg

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

Yes 67.4¢

9,510.1 shares

67.4¢

70.3¢

$6,680.81$274.17 (4.28%)

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

Yes 67.4¢

9,510.1 shares

$6,680.81$274.17 (4.28%)

Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 16, 2026?

No 91¢

3,000.0 shares

91¢

94.2¢

$2,825.99$96.00 (3.52%)

Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 16, 2026?

No 91¢

3,000.0 shares

$2,825.99$96.00 (3.52%)

Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?

Yes 52.1¢

9,467.2 shares

52.1¢

20¢

$1,893.43-$3,034.96 (-61.58%)

Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?

Yes 52.1¢

9,467.2 shares

$1,893.43-$3,034.96 (-61.58%)

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

No 49.5¢

2,493.7 shares

49.5¢

58.5¢

$1,458.82$223.93 (18.13%)

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

No 49.5¢

2,493.7 shares

$1,458.82$223.93 (18.13%)

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 9, 2026?

No 78.4¢

1,128.9 shares

78.4¢

100¢

$1,128.94$243.62 (27.52%)

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 9, 2026?

No 78.4¢

1,128.9 shares

$1,128.94$243.62 (27.52%)

Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?

No 68.3¢

1,122.9 shares

68.3¢

91.5¢

$1,027.47$260.43 (33.95%)

Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?

No 68.3¢

1,122.9 shares

$1,027.47$260.43 (33.95%)

Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?

No 79.6¢

1,012.5 shares

79.6¢

98.1¢

$992.76$187.00 (23.21%)

Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?

No 79.6¢

1,012.5 shares

$992.76$187.00 (23.21%)

Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?

No 92.9¢

1,000.0 shares

92.9¢

97.2¢

$972.00$43.00 (4.63%)

Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?

No 92.9¢

1,000.0 shares

$972.00$43.00 (4.63%)

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

No 73.4¢

1,224.2 shares

73.4¢

77¢

$942.66$44.07 (4.9%)

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

No 73.4¢

1,224.2 shares

$942.66$44.07 (4.9%)

Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $30 in 2026?

No 75.7¢

930.9 shares

75.7¢

81.5¢

$758.66$53.53 (7.59%)

Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $30 in 2026?

No 75.7¢

930.9 shares

$758.66$53.53 (7.59%)

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?

Yes 49.9¢

487.7 shares

49.9¢

81.2¢

$396.04$152.68 (62.74%)

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?

Yes 49.9¢

487.7 shares

$396.04$152.68 (62.74%)

Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?

Yes 26.5¢

2,510.0 shares

26.5¢

15.5¢

$389.05-$276.65 (-41.56%)

Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?

Yes 26.5¢

2,510.0 shares

$389.05-$276.65 (-41.56%)

Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?

No 32¢

1,566.3 shares

32¢

19.5¢

$305.42-$195.78 (-39.06%)

Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?

No 32¢

1,566.3 shares

$305.42-$195.78 (-39.06%)

Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?

No 26.5¢

443.9 shares

26.5¢

60.5¢

$268.55$150.74 (127.95%)

Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?

No 26.5¢

443.9 shares

$268.55$150.74 (127.95%)

Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?

No 25.8¢

2,269.9 shares

25.8¢

11.5¢

$261.04-$325.49 (-55.49%)

Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?

No 25.8¢

2,269.9 shares

$261.04-$325.49 (-55.49%)

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?

No 40.7¢

396.8 shares

40.7¢

62¢

$245.99$84.37 (52.2%)

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?

No 40.7¢

396.8 shares

$245.99$84.37 (52.2%)

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026?

No 51¢

249.0 shares

51¢

96.2¢

$239.56$112.56 (88.63%)

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026?

No 51¢

249.0 shares

$239.56$112.56 (88.63%)

Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?

No 19.3¢

2,049.0 shares

19.3¢

11.5¢

$235.63-$159.34 (-40.34%)

Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?

No 19.3¢

2,049.0 shares

$235.63-$159.34 (-40.34%)

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?

No 18¢

220.0 shares

18¢

89¢

$195.80$156.20 (394.44%)

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?

No 18¢

220.0 shares

$195.80$156.20 (394.44%)

Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $45 in 2026?

No 55¢

306.5 shares

55¢

45.5¢

$139.46-$29.23 (-17.33%)

Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $45 in 2026?

No 55¢

306.5 shares

$139.46-$29.23 (-17.33%)