Rumpelstiltskin

Joined Mar 2025·1.9K views

$16.3K

Positions Value

$9,790.51

Biggest Win

245

Markets Traded

Total PnL: +$24.9K
Total Volume: 697.6K

Profit/Loss

-$13.69

Past Day

Market

Avg

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Yes 47.6¢

6,942.6 shares

47.6¢

64.5¢

$4,478.00$1,172.76 (35.48%)

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Yes 47.6¢

6,942.6 shares

$4,478.00$1,172.76 (35.48%)

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?

Yes 70¢

3,155.0 shares

70¢

76¢

$2,397.80$189.40 (8.58%)

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?

Yes 70¢

3,155.0 shares

$2,397.80$189.40 (8.58%)

Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?

Yes 76¢

2,321.0 shares

76¢

85.5¢

$1,984.46$220.50 (12.5%)

Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?

Yes 76¢

2,321.0 shares

$1,984.46$220.50 (12.5%)

Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?

Yes 52.1¢

9,467.2 shares

52.1¢

12¢

$1,136.06-$3,792.33 (-76.95%)

Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?

Yes 52.1¢

9,467.2 shares

$1,136.06-$3,792.33 (-76.95%)

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

No 49.5¢

1,463.1 shares

49.5¢

70¢

$1,024.19$299.65 (41.36%)

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

No 49.5¢

1,463.1 shares

$1,024.19$299.65 (41.36%)

Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?

No 68.3¢

1,122.9 shares

68.3¢

90.5¢

$1,016.24$249.20 (32.49%)

Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?

No 68.3¢

1,122.9 shares

$1,016.24$249.20 (32.49%)

Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?

No 92.9¢

1,000.0 shares

92.9¢

99.7¢

$997.00$68.00 (7.32%)

Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?

No 92.9¢

1,000.0 shares

$997.00$68.00 (7.32%)

Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?

Yes 64¢

1,242.2 shares

64¢

67.5¢

$838.45$43.48 (5.47%)

Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?

Yes 64¢

1,242.2 shares

$838.45$43.48 (5.47%)

Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $30 in 2026?

No 75.7¢

930.9 shares

75.7¢

87¢

$809.86$104.72 (14.85%)

Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $30 in 2026?

No 75.7¢

930.9 shares

$809.86$104.72 (14.85%)

Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 13, 2026?

Yes 69.3¢

742.0 shares

69.3¢

50.5¢

$374.73-$139.63 (-27.15%)

Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 13, 2026?

Yes 69.3¢

742.0 shares

$374.73-$139.63 (-27.15%)

Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?

No 26.5¢

443.9 shares

26.5¢

73¢

$324.03$206.22 (175.05%)

Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?

No 26.5¢

443.9 shares

$324.03$206.22 (175.05%)

Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?

Yes 26.5¢

2,510.0 shares

26.5¢

10¢

$249.74-$415.95 (-62.48%)

Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?

Yes 26.5¢

2,510.0 shares

$249.74-$415.95 (-62.48%)

Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?

No 32¢

1,566.3 shares

32¢

13¢

$203.61-$297.59 (-59.37%)

Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?

No 32¢

1,566.3 shares

$203.61-$297.59 (-59.37%)

Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $45 in 2026?

No 55¢

306.5 shares

55¢

$168.58-$0.11 (-0.07%)

Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $45 in 2026?

No 55¢

306.5 shares

$168.58-$0.11 (-0.07%)

Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?

Yes 46¢

225.3 shares

46¢

51.5¢

$116.01$12.39 (11.96%)

Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?

Yes 46¢

225.3 shares

$116.01$12.39 (11.96%)

Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?

Yes 84.5¢

160.7 shares

84.5¢

55.5¢

$89.21-$46.60 (-34.32%)

Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?

Yes 84.5¢

160.7 shares

$89.21-$46.60 (-34.32%)

Will Claude Fable's output price be at or above $55 in 2026?

No 45¢

65.4 shares

45¢

87¢

$56.92$27.48 (93.33%)

Will Claude Fable's output price be at or above $55 in 2026?

No 45¢

65.4 shares

$56.92$27.48 (93.33%)

Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?

Yes 37¢

146.0 shares

37¢

19.5¢

$28.47-$25.55 (-47.3%)

Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?

Yes 37¢

146.0 shares

$28.47-$25.55 (-47.3%)

Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?

Yes 21.9¢

403.4 shares

21.9¢

6.5¢

$26.02-$62.33 (-70.55%)

Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?

Yes 21.9¢

403.4 shares

$26.02-$62.33 (-70.55%)

Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?

No 54¢

6.0 shares

54¢

48.5¢

$2.89-$0.33 (-10.18%)

Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?

No 54¢

6.0 shares

$2.89-$0.33 (-10.18%)