Rumpelstiltskin

Joined Mar 2025·1.8K views

$22.1K

Positions Value

$9,790.51

Biggest Win

230

Markets Traded

Total PnL: +$23.7K
Total Volume: 657.8K

Profit/Loss

-$62.88

Past Day

Market

Avg

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

Yes 67.4¢

9,510.1 shares

67.4¢

69.2¢

$6,576.20$169.56 (2.65%)

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

Yes 67.4¢

9,510.1 shares

$6,576.20$169.56 (2.65%)

Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 16, 2026?

No 91¢

3,000.0 shares

91¢

95.2¢

$2,855.99$126.00 (4.62%)

Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 16, 2026?

No 91¢

3,000.0 shares

$2,855.99$126.00 (4.62%)

Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?

Yes 52.1¢

9,467.2 shares

52.1¢

23.5¢

$2,224.78-$2,703.61 (-54.86%)

Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?

Yes 52.1¢

9,467.2 shares

$2,224.78-$2,703.61 (-54.86%)

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

No 49.5¢

2,493.7 shares

49.5¢

58.5¢

$1,458.82$223.93 (18.13%)

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

No 49.5¢

2,493.7 shares

$1,458.82$223.93 (18.13%)

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 9, 2026?

No 78.4¢

1,128.9 shares

78.4¢

100¢

$1,128.94$243.62 (27.52%)

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 9, 2026?

No 78.4¢

1,128.9 shares

$1,128.94$243.62 (27.52%)

Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?

No 79.6¢

1,012.5 shares

79.6¢

98¢

$992.25$186.50 (23.15%)

Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?

No 79.6¢

1,012.5 shares

$992.25$186.50 (23.15%)

Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?

No 92.9¢

1,000.0 shares

92.9¢

97.1¢

$970.50$41.50 (4.47%)

Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?

No 92.9¢

1,000.0 shares

$970.50$41.50 (4.47%)

Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?

No 68.3¢

1,122.9 shares

68.3¢

85.5¢

$960.10$193.05 (25.17%)

Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?

No 68.3¢

1,122.9 shares

$960.10$193.05 (25.17%)

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

No 73.4¢

1,224.2 shares

73.4¢

74.5¢

$912.05$13.46 (1.5%)

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

No 73.4¢

1,224.2 shares

$912.05$13.46 (1.5%)

Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $30 in 2026?

No 75.7¢

930.9 shares

75.7¢

81.5¢

$758.66$53.53 (7.59%)

Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $30 in 2026?

No 75.7¢

930.9 shares

$758.66$53.53 (7.59%)

Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?

Yes 26.5¢

2,510.0 shares

26.5¢

15.5¢

$389.05-$276.65 (-41.56%)

Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?

Yes 26.5¢

2,510.0 shares

$389.05-$276.65 (-41.56%)

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?

Yes 49.9¢

487.7 shares

49.9¢

79.5¢

$387.51$144.15 (59.23%)

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?

Yes 49.9¢

487.7 shares

$387.51$144.15 (59.23%)

Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?

No 32¢

1,566.3 shares

32¢

24.5¢

$383.73-$117.47 (-23.44%)

Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?

No 32¢

1,566.3 shares

$383.73-$117.47 (-23.44%)

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?

No 40.7¢

396.8 shares

40.7¢

66.5¢

$263.84$102.22 (63.25%)

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?

No 40.7¢

396.8 shares

$263.84$102.22 (63.25%)

Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?

No 26.5¢

443.9 shares

26.5¢

58¢

$257.45$139.64 (118.53%)

Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?

No 26.5¢

443.9 shares

$257.45$139.64 (118.53%)

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026?

No 51¢

249.0 shares

51¢

96.1¢

$239.18$112.18 (88.33%)

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026?

No 51¢

249.0 shares

$239.18$112.18 (88.33%)

Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?

No 25.8¢

2,269.9 shares

25.8¢

10¢

$226.99-$359.54 (-61.3%)

Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?

No 25.8¢

2,269.9 shares

$226.99-$359.54 (-61.3%)

Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?

No 19.3¢

2,049.0 shares

19.3¢

10.5¢

$215.14-$179.83 (-45.53%)

Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?

No 19.3¢

2,049.0 shares

$215.14-$179.83 (-45.53%)

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?

No 18¢

220.0 shares

18¢

88.5¢

$194.70$155.10 (391.67%)

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?

No 18¢

220.0 shares

$194.70$155.10 (391.67%)

Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $45 in 2026?

No 55¢

306.5 shares

55¢

48¢

$147.13-$21.57 (-12.79%)

Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $45 in 2026?

No 55¢

306.5 shares

$147.13-$21.57 (-12.79%)