ToadToad

Joined Oct 2024·327 views

$3.10

Positions Value

$1,429.32

Biggest Win

163

Markets Traded

Total PnL: +$1,962.95
Total Volume: 195.2K

Profit/Loss

$0.05

Past Day

Market

Avg

Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?

Yes 2.2¢

92.4 shares

2.2¢

2.7¢

$2.45$0.42 (20.45%)

Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?

Yes 2.2¢

92.4 shares

$2.45$0.42 (20.45%)

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

No 80¢

1.0 shares

80¢

77.5¢

$0.74-$0.02 (-3.13%)

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

No 80¢

1.0 shares

$0.74-$0.02 (-3.13%)

Will Multipli.fi launch a token by December 31, 2026?

No 19¢

1.8 shares

19¢

30.7¢

$0.55$0.21 (61.29%)

Will Multipli.fi launch a token by December 31, 2026?

No 19¢

1.8 shares

$0.55$0.21 (61.29%)

Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?

No 91.6¢

0.3 shares

91.6¢

97.7¢

$0.31$0.02 (6.59%)

Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?

No 91.6¢

0.3 shares

$0.31$0.02 (6.59%)

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Yes 54¢

0.3 shares

54¢

37.5¢

$0.12-$0.05 (-30.53%)

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Yes 54¢

0.3 shares

$0.12-$0.05 (-30.53%)

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Yes 24¢

2.3 shares

24¢

4.3¢

$0.10-$0.46 (-82.29%)

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Yes 24¢

2.3 shares

$0.10-$0.46 (-82.29%)

Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?

No 3.7¢

96.2 shares

3.7¢

0¢

$0.00-$3.54 (-100%)

Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?

No 3.7¢

96.2 shares

$0.00-$3.54 (-100%)

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

No 62¢

2,500.0 shares

62¢

0¢

$0.00-$1,550.00 (-100%)

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

No 62¢

2,500.0 shares

$0.00-$1,550.00 (-100%)

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 32.9¢

152.0 shares

32.9¢

0¢

$0.00-$50.00 (-100%)

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 32.9¢

152.0 shares

$0.00-$50.00 (-100%)

GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?

Yes 16.6¢

0.7 shares

16.6¢

0¢

$0.00-$0.12 (-99.93%)

GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?

Yes 16.6¢

0.7 shares

$0.00-$0.12 (-99.93%)

US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?

No 3¢

50.0 shares

3¢

0¢

$0.00-$1.50 (-100%)

US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?

No 3¢

50.0 shares

$0.00-$1.50 (-100%)

Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?

Yes 31.1¢

462.8 shares

31.1¢

0¢

$0.00-$143.80 (-100%)

Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?

Yes 31.1¢

462.8 shares

$0.00-$143.80 (-100%)

Will Russia capture Dorozhnie by June 30, 2026?

No 3.5¢

148.2 shares

3.5¢

0¢

$0.00-$5.14 (-100%)

Will Russia capture Dorozhnie by June 30, 2026?

No 3.5¢

148.2 shares

$0.00-$5.14 (-100%)

Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by June 5?

No 1¢

200.0 shares

1¢

0¢

$0.00-$2.00 (-100%)

Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by June 5?

No 1¢

200.0 shares

$0.00-$2.00 (-100%)

GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?

No 7.8¢

1.1 shares

7.8¢

0¢

$0.00-$0.08 (-99.98%)

GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?

No 7.8¢

1.1 shares

$0.00-$0.08 (-99.98%)

No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 15¢

604.4 shares

15¢

0¢

$0.00-$90.58 (-100%)

No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 15¢

604.4 shares

$0.00-$90.58 (-100%)

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 7¢

104.3 shares

7¢

0¢

$0.00-$7.30 (-100%)

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 7¢

104.3 shares

$0.00-$7.30 (-100%)

Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

No 0.7¢

607.1 shares

0.7¢

0¢

$0.00-$4.00 (-100%)

Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

No 0.7¢

607.1 shares

$0.00-$4.00 (-100%)

Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5

Over 51¢

19.6 shares

51¢

0¢

$0.00-$10.00 (-100%)

Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5

Over 51¢

19.6 shares

$0.00-$10.00 (-100%)

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?

Yes 12.7¢

254.9 shares

12.7¢

0¢

$0.00-$32.28 (-100%)

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?

Yes 12.7¢

254.9 shares

$0.00-$32.28 (-100%)