parameter1

Joined Oct 2025·73 views

$4,583.63

Positions Value

$233.32

Biggest Win

1,572

Markets Traded

Total PnL: +$1,558.54
Total Volume: 81.6K

Profit/Loss

$26.80

Past Day

Market

Avg

Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

Yes 21.6¢

289.0 shares

21.6¢

72¢

$208.05$145.65 (233.37%)

Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

Yes 21.6¢

289.0 shares

$208.05$145.65 (233.37%)

Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?

No 73.6¢

190.3 shares

73.6¢

96.7¢

$183.93$43.93 (31.38%)

Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?

No 73.6¢

190.3 shares

$183.93$43.93 (31.38%)

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?

No 15¢

224.8 shares

15¢

68.7¢

$154.35$120.57 (356.92%)

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?

No 15¢

224.8 shares

$154.35$120.57 (356.92%)

Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?

No 90.4¢

154.8 shares

90.4¢

97.2¢

$150.51$10.51 (7.51%)

Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?

No 90.4¢

154.8 shares

$150.51$10.51 (7.51%)

Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?

Yes 62.4¢

217.4 shares

62.4¢

67.6¢

$146.85$11.13 (8.2%)

Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?

Yes 62.4¢

217.4 shares

$146.85$11.13 (8.2%)

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?

No 69.7¢

170.9 shares

69.7¢

85.5¢

$146.12$26.92 (22.58%)

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?

No 69.7¢

170.9 shares

$146.12$26.92 (22.58%)

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?

Yes 65.8¢

156.2 shares

65.8¢

80.3¢

$125.40$22.65 (22.04%)

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?

Yes 65.8¢

156.2 shares

$125.40$22.65 (22.04%)

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

Yes 40.9¢

169.7 shares

40.9¢

69.8¢

$118.39$48.94 (70.48%)

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

Yes 40.9¢

169.7 shares

$118.39$48.94 (70.48%)

Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?

No 83.9¢

131.1 shares

83.9¢

87.5¢

$114.72$4.72 (4.29%)

Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?

No 83.9¢

131.1 shares

$114.72$4.72 (4.29%)

Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?

No 91¢

109.9 shares

91¢

94.5¢

$103.85$3.85 (3.85%)

Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?

No 91¢

109.9 shares

$103.85$3.85 (3.85%)

Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31?

No 84¢

95.2 shares

84¢

97¢

$92.38$12.38 (15.48%)

Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31?

No 84¢

95.2 shares

$92.38$12.38 (15.48%)

Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?

No 85¢

100.0 shares

85¢

91.5¢

$91.49$6.50 (7.65%)

Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?

No 85¢

100.0 shares

$91.49$6.50 (7.65%)

Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?

Yes 90.6¢

91.4 shares

90.6¢

97.7¢

$89.32$6.53 (7.88%)

Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?

Yes 90.6¢

91.4 shares

$89.32$6.53 (7.88%)

Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?

Yes 87¢

91.9 shares

87¢

90.5¢

$83.20$3.20 (4%)

Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?

Yes 87¢

91.9 shares

$83.20$3.20 (4%)

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?

Yes 83.2¢

81.7 shares

83.2¢

95.2¢

$77.81$9.81 (14.42%)

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?

Yes 83.2¢

81.7 shares

$77.81$9.81 (14.42%)

Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?

No 90.2¢

82.6 shares

90.2¢

92.5¢

$76.40$1.91 (2.57%)

Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?

No 90.2¢

82.6 shares

$76.40$1.91 (2.57%)

Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?

No 87¢

84.9 shares

87¢

88.4¢

$75.13$1.23 (1.67%)

Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?

No 87¢

84.9 shares

$75.13$1.23 (1.67%)

Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $40 by June 30, 2027?

Yes 70.7¢

95.5 shares

70.7¢

78¢

$74.50$7.00 (10.37%)

Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $40 by June 30, 2027?

Yes 70.7¢

95.5 shares

$74.50$7.00 (10.37%)

Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

No 79.6¢

93.2 shares

79.6¢

79.5¢

$74.13-$0.07 (-0.1%)

Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

No 79.6¢

93.2 shares

$74.13-$0.07 (-0.1%)

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

No 79.5¢

75.5 shares

79.5¢

96.3¢

$72.69$12.69 (21.14%)

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

No 79.5¢

75.5 shares

$72.69$12.69 (21.14%)