parameter1

Joined Oct 2025·73 views

$4,508.80

Positions Value

$233.32

Biggest Win

1,570

Markets Traded

Total PnL: +$1,532.53
Total Volume: 81.4K

Profit/Loss

-$22.86

Past Day

Market

Avg

Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

Yes 21.6¢

289.0 shares

21.6¢

72.5¢

$209.50$147.09 (235.69%)

Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

Yes 21.6¢

289.0 shares

$209.50$147.09 (235.69%)

Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?

No 73.6¢

190.3 shares

73.6¢

96.5¢

$183.65$43.65 (31.18%)

Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?

No 73.6¢

190.3 shares

$183.65$43.65 (31.18%)

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?

No 15¢

224.8 shares

15¢

72¢

$161.77$127.99 (378.89%)

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?

No 15¢

224.8 shares

$161.77$127.99 (378.89%)

Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?

Yes 62.4¢

217.4 shares

62.4¢

71¢

$154.24$18.52 (13.65%)

Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?

Yes 62.4¢

217.4 shares

$154.24$18.52 (13.65%)

Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?

No 90.4¢

154.8 shares

90.4¢

97.1¢

$150.28$10.28 (7.34%)

Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?

No 90.4¢

154.8 shares

$150.28$10.28 (7.34%)

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?

No 69.7¢

170.9 shares

69.7¢

85.5¢

$146.12$26.92 (22.58%)

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?

No 69.7¢

170.9 shares

$146.12$26.92 (22.58%)

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

Yes 40.9¢

169.7 shares

40.9¢

70.9¢

$120.26$50.81 (73.17%)

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

Yes 40.9¢

169.7 shares

$120.26$50.81 (73.17%)

Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?

No 83.9¢

131.1 shares

83.9¢

87.5¢

$114.72$4.72 (4.29%)

Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?

No 83.9¢

131.1 shares

$114.72$4.72 (4.29%)

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?

Yes 65.2¢

150.0 shares

65.2¢

70.6¢

$105.88$8.13 (8.32%)

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?

Yes 65.2¢

150.0 shares

$105.88$8.13 (8.32%)

Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?

No 91¢

109.9 shares

91¢

94.5¢

$103.85$3.85 (3.85%)

Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?

No 91¢

109.9 shares

$103.85$3.85 (3.85%)

Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31?

No 84¢

95.2 shares

84¢

97.1¢

$92.43$12.43 (15.54%)

Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31?

No 84¢

95.2 shares

$92.43$12.43 (15.54%)

Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?

No 85¢

100.0 shares

85¢

91.5¢

$91.49$6.50 (7.65%)

Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?

No 85¢

100.0 shares

$91.49$6.50 (7.65%)

Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?

Yes 90.6¢

91.4 shares

90.6¢

98¢

$89.59$6.80 (8.21%)

Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?

Yes 90.6¢

91.4 shares

$89.59$6.80 (8.21%)

Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?

Yes 87¢

91.9 shares

87¢

91¢

$83.66$3.66 (4.57%)

Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?

Yes 87¢

91.9 shares

$83.66$3.66 (4.57%)

Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

No 79.6¢

93.2 shares

79.6¢

86.5¢

$80.66$6.45 (8.7%)

Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

No 79.6¢

93.2 shares

$80.66$6.45 (8.7%)

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?

Yes 83.2¢

81.7 shares

83.2¢

96¢

$78.42$10.42 (15.32%)

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?

Yes 83.2¢

81.7 shares

$78.42$10.42 (15.32%)

Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?

No 90.2¢

82.6 shares

90.2¢

92.5¢

$76.40$1.91 (2.57%)

Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?

No 90.2¢

82.6 shares

$76.40$1.91 (2.57%)

Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?

No 87¢

84.9 shares

87¢

89.1¢

$75.68$1.78 (2.41%)

Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?

No 87¢

84.9 shares

$75.68$1.78 (2.41%)

Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $40 by June 30, 2027?

Yes 70.7¢

95.5 shares

70.7¢

78¢

$74.50$7.00 (10.37%)

Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $40 by June 30, 2027?

Yes 70.7¢

95.5 shares

$74.50$7.00 (10.37%)

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

No 79.5¢

75.5 shares

79.5¢

96.1¢

$72.54$12.54 (20.89%)

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

No 79.5¢

75.5 shares

$72.54$12.54 (20.89%)