holmman

Joined May 2026·3 views

$50.67

Positions Value

$223.76

Biggest Win

116

Markets Traded

Total PnL: +$147.93
Total Volume: 25.2K

Profit/Loss

-$14.17

Past Day

Market

Avg

Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?

Yes 11¢

136.4 shares

11¢

14.5¢

$19.77$4.77 (31.82%)

Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?

Yes 11¢

136.4 shares

$19.77$4.77 (31.82%)

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?

No 31.9¢

94.1 shares

31.9¢

11.5¢

$10.83-$19.17 (-63.92%)

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?

No 31.9¢

94.1 shares

$10.83-$19.17 (-63.92%)

Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?

Yes 6¢

83.3 shares

6¢

11.5¢

$9.58$4.58 (91.67%)

Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?

Yes 6¢

83.3 shares

$9.58$4.58 (91.67%)

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?

Yes 19¢

52.6 shares

19¢

11¢

$5.79-$4.21 (-42.11%)

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?

Yes 19¢

52.6 shares

$5.79-$4.21 (-42.11%)

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

Yes 15¢

133.3 shares

15¢

2.1¢

$2.73-$17.27 (-86.33%)

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

Yes 15¢

133.3 shares

$2.73-$17.27 (-86.33%)

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

No 46.3¢

21.6 shares

46.3¢

9.1¢

$1.97-$8.03 (-80.35%)

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

No 46.3¢

21.6 shares

$1.97-$8.03 (-80.35%)

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

No 34¢

8.8 shares

34¢

0¢

$0.00-$3.00 (-100%)

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

No 34¢

8.8 shares

$0.00-$3.00 (-100%)

Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?

No 29¢

10.3 shares

29¢

0¢

$0.00-$3.00 (-100%)

Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?

No 29¢

10.3 shares

$0.00-$3.00 (-100%)

Will Sergio Fajardo place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 3.6¢

138.9 shares

3.6¢

0¢

$0.00-$5.00 (-100%)

Will Sergio Fajardo place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 3.6¢

138.9 shares

$0.00-$5.00 (-100%)

Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 3rd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 6.5¢

50.0 shares

6.5¢

0¢

$0.00-$3.25 (-100%)

Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 3rd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 6.5¢

50.0 shares

$0.00-$3.25 (-100%)

Will Sergio Fajardo place 1st in the Antioquia Department?

Yes 1.6¢

630.0 shares

1.6¢

0¢

$0.00-$10.08 (-100%)

Will Sergio Fajardo place 1st in the Antioquia Department?

Yes 1.6¢

630.0 shares

$0.00-$10.08 (-100%)

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win between 30% and 35% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?

Yes 38¢

26.3 shares

38¢

0¢

$0.00-$10.00 (-100%)

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win between 30% and 35% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?

Yes 38¢

26.3 shares

$0.00-$10.00 (-100%)

Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 12¢

8.3 shares

12¢

0¢

$0.00-$1.00 (-99.99%)

Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 12¢

8.3 shares

$0.00-$1.00 (-99.99%)

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

No 29¢

34.5 shares

29¢

0¢

$0.00-$10.00 (-100%)

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

No 29¢

34.5 shares

$0.00-$10.00 (-100%)

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 78.8¢

25.4 shares

78.8¢

0¢

$0.00-$20.00 (-100%)

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 78.8¢

25.4 shares

$0.00-$20.00 (-100%)

Will France win on 2026-06-30?

No 24¢

20.8 shares

24¢

0¢

$0.00-$5.00 (-100%)

Will France win on 2026-06-30?

No 24¢

20.8 shares

$0.00-$5.00 (-100%)

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?

Yes 14¢

14.3 shares

14¢

0¢

$0.00-$2.00 (-100%)

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?

Yes 14¢

14.3 shares

$0.00-$2.00 (-100%)

Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Yes 12.9¢

77.7 shares

12.9¢

0¢

$0.00-$10.00 (-100%)

Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Yes 12.9¢

77.7 shares

$0.00-$10.00 (-100%)

Will Paloma Valencia place 1st in Bogotá?

Yes 4¢

50.0 shares

4¢

0¢

$0.00-$2.00 (-100%)

Will Paloma Valencia place 1st in Bogotá?

Yes 4¢

50.0 shares

$0.00-$2.00 (-100%)

Will voter turnout be 51-54% in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 11¢

150.0 shares

11¢

0¢

$0.00-$16.50 (-100%)

Will voter turnout be 51-54% in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 11¢

150.0 shares

$0.00-$16.50 (-100%)