tetlock

Joined Mar 2026·10 views

$9.08

Positions Value

$26.81

Biggest Win

Predictions

Total PnL: +$54.24
Total Volume: 1.4K

Profit/Loss

$0.00

Past Day

Market

Avg

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 86¢

2.3 shares

86¢

96.5¢

$2.24$0.24 (12.21%)

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 86¢

2.3 shares

$2.24$0.24 (12.21%)

Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Yes 2.3¢

43.5 shares

2.3¢

4.8¢

$2.09$1.09 (108.69%)

Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Yes 2.3¢

43.5 shares

$2.09$1.09 (108.69%)

Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Yes 0.6¢

166.7 shares

0.6¢

0.8¢

$1.25$0.25 (24.99%)

Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Yes 0.6¢

166.7 shares

$1.25$0.25 (24.99%)

Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Yes 1.6¢

62.5 shares

1.6¢

1.4¢

$0.84-$0.16 (-15.62%)

Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Yes 1.6¢

62.5 shares

$0.84-$0.16 (-15.62%)

Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Yes 9¢

11.1 shares

9¢

5.5¢

$0.61-$0.39 (-38.88%)

Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Yes 9¢

11.1 shares

$0.61-$0.39 (-38.88%)

Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Yes 7¢

14.3 shares

7¢

4.1¢

$0.59-$0.41 (-41.42%)

Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Yes 7¢

14.3 shares

$0.59-$0.41 (-41.42%)

Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Yes 3.3¢

30.3 shares

3.3¢

1.5¢

$0.44-$0.56 (-56.06%)

Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Yes 3.3¢

30.3 shares

$0.44-$0.56 (-56.06%)

Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Yes 0.6¢

166.7 shares

0.6¢

0.3¢

$0.42-$0.58 (-58.33%)

Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Yes 0.6¢

166.7 shares

$0.42-$0.58 (-58.33%)

Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Yes 4¢

25.0 shares

4¢

1.3¢

$0.33-$0.68 (-67.5%)

Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Yes 4¢

25.0 shares

$0.33-$0.68 (-67.5%)

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Yes 6.6¢

15.2 shares

6.6¢

1.3¢

$0.20-$0.80 (-80.3%)

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Yes 6.6¢

15.2 shares

$0.20-$0.80 (-80.3%)

Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Yes 1.9¢

52.6 shares

1.9¢

0.2¢

$0.08-$0.92 (-92.1%)

Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Yes 1.9¢

52.6 shares

$0.08-$0.92 (-92.1%)

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?

No 51.1¢

52.9 shares

51.1¢

0¢

$0.00-$26.99 (-100%)

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?

No 51.1¢

52.9 shares

$0.00-$26.99 (-100%)

Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?

Yes 47¢

55.3 shares

47¢

0¢

$0.00-$26.00 (-100%)

Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?

Yes 47¢

55.3 shares

$0.00-$26.00 (-100%)

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?

No 7¢

14.3 shares

7¢

0¢

$0.00-$1.00 (-99.99%)

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?

No 7¢

14.3 shares

$0.00-$1.00 (-99.99%)

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?

Yes 44¢

30.4 shares

44¢

0¢

$0.00-$13.36 (-100%)

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?

Yes 44¢

30.4 shares

$0.00-$13.36 (-100%)

Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?

Yes 70¢

19.1 shares

70¢

0¢

$0.00-$13.36 (-100%)

Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?

Yes 70¢

19.1 shares

$0.00-$13.36 (-100%)

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?

No 59.6¢

22.2 shares

59.6¢

0¢

$0.00-$13.22 (-100%)

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?

No 59.6¢

22.2 shares

$0.00-$13.22 (-100%)

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?

Yes 28¢

6.4 shares

28¢

0¢

$0.00-$1.80 (-99.99%)

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?

Yes 28¢

6.4 shares

$0.00-$1.80 (-99.99%)