US recession by end of 2026?

US recession by end of 2026?

32%

$1M Vol.

$65.1K Liq.

43

Ends in 10 months

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

28%

June 30

$95.7K Vol.

$33.0K Liq.

15

Ends in 3 months

Which companies will the US take a stake in?

Which companies will the US take a stake in?

37%

Eli Lilly

$77.7K Vol.

$57.7K Liq.

2

Ends in 9 months

US bank failure by April 30?

US bank failure by April 30?

16%

$9.0K Vol.

$3.8K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?

US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?

14%

$15.3K Vol.

$4.3K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

What will the median home value in the US be on April 30?

What will the median home value in the US be on April 30?

44%

435 - 437k

$1.2K Vol.

$3.1K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?

US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?

9%

$0 Vol.

$208 Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by May 1?

Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by May 1?

20%

375M

$279K Vol.

$152K Liq.

7

Ends in 26 days

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

50%

5.0%

$347K Vol.

$15.6K Liq.

13

Ends in 9 months

US GDP growth in Q1 2026?

US GDP growth in Q1 2026?

26%

3.0–3.5%

$234K Vol.

$22.7K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Another US debt downgrade before 2027?

Another US debt downgrade before 2027?

22%

$8.8K Vol.

$5.0K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

US Trade Deficit in 2026?

US Trade Deficit in 2026?

28%

800–900B

$17.4K Vol.

$19.4K Liq.

Ends in 11 months

US defaults on debt by 2027?

US defaults on debt by 2027?

5%

$14.7K Vol.

$26.6K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

March Inflation US - Annual

March Inflation US - Annual

99%

≥2.8%

$3M Vol.

$57.5K today

$86.2K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

March Inflation US - Annual (Higher Brackets)

March Inflation US - Annual (Higher Brackets)

45%

≥3.4%

$930K Vol.

$55.7K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

March Inflation US - Monthly

March Inflation US - Monthly

95%

≥0.8%

$565K Vol.

$41.3K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Peak US National Debt before 2027?

Peak US National Debt before 2027?

98%

$40 trillion

$9.1K Vol.

$21.0K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Will gas hit __ by end of April?

Will gas hit __ by end of April?

99%

↑ $4.15

$156K Vol.

$85.6K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Number of TSA Passengers April 4?

Number of TSA Passengers April 4?

99%

<3.0M

$11.7K Vol.

$11.2K Liq.

Number of TSA Passengers April 6?

Number of TSA Passengers April 6?

48%

2.4M-2.6M

$2.0K Vol.

$10.6K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like US Economy.

Polymarket currently hosts 129 active markets for US Economy that lets you track or trade on predictions like “US recession by end of 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $7.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “March Inflation US - Annual,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “March Inflation US - Annual,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 99% chance to ≥2.8%. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on US Economy predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.