Recent Japan core CPI readings, including 1.8% YoY for July national data and Tokyo’s August figure, have kept the 2026 average near the lower end of the 2% target range amid fuel subsidies and base effects, supporting the slim 51.2% market-implied odds for ≤1.9%. Wage gains and yen depreciation continue to underpin underlying price pressures, while Middle East-related energy costs add upside risks that the Bank of Japan is addressing through gradual rate hikes. The closely matched 43.5% probability for 2.0-2.4% reflects uncertainty over second-half acceleration from services and AI-driven demand, with the upcoming September BOJ policy decision and September CPI release as key near-term catalysts.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update≤1.9% 51.2%
2.0-2.4% 44%
2.5-2.9% 3.1%
3.0-3.4% <1%
$40,699 Vol.
$40,699 Vol.
Jan 22, 2027
≤1.9%
51%
2.0-2.4%
44%
2.5-2.9%
3%
3.0-3.4%
<1%
3.5-3.9%
<1%
4.0%+
<1%
≤1.9% 51.2%
2.0-2.4% 44%
2.5-2.9% 3.1%
3.0-3.4% <1%
$40,699 Vol.
$40,699 Vol.
Jan 22, 2027
≤1.9%
$19,302 Vol.
51%
2.0-2.4%
$11,384 Vol.
44%
2.5-2.9%
$5,548 Vol.
3%
3.0-3.4%
$1,661 Vol.
<1%
3.5-3.9%
$1,253 Vol.
<1%
4.0%+
$1,551 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Recent Japan core CPI readings, including 1.8% YoY for July national data and Tokyo’s August figure, have kept the 2026 average near the lower end of the 2% target range amid fuel subsidies and base effects, supporting the slim 51.2% market-implied odds for ≤1.9%. Wage gains and yen depreciation continue to underpin underlying price pressures, while Middle East-related energy costs add upside risks that the Bank of Japan is addressing through gradual rate hikes. The closely matched 43.5% probability for 2.0-2.4% reflects uncertainty over second-half acceleration from services and AI-driven demand, with the upcoming September BOJ policy decision and September CPI release as key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Binuksan ang Market: Jun 17, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
Volume
$40,699Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 22, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Jun 17, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Recent Japan core CPI readings, including 1.8% YoY for July national data and Tokyo’s August figure, have kept the 2026 average near the lower end of the 2% target range amid fuel subsidies and base effects, supporting the slim 51.2% market-implied odds for ≤1.9%. Wage gains and yen depreciation continue to underpin underlying price pressures, while Middle East-related energy costs add upside risks that the Bank of Japan is addressing through gradual rate hikes. The closely matched 43.5% probability for 2.0-2.4% reflects uncertainty over second-half acceleration from services and AI-driven demand, with the upcoming September BOJ policy decision and September CPI release as key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Volume
$40,699Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 22, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Jun 17, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan core CPI readings, including 1.8% YoY for July national data and Tokyo’s August figure, have kept the 2026 average near the lower end of the 2% target range amid fuel subsidies and base effects, supporting the slim 51.2% market-implied odds for ≤1.9%. Wage gains and yen depreciation continue to underpin underlying price pressures, while Middle East-related energy costs add upside risks that the Bank of Japan is addressing through gradual rate hikes. The closely matched 43.5% probability for 2.0-2.4% reflects uncertainty over second-half acceleration from services and AI-driven demand, with the upcoming September BOJ policy decision and September CPI release as key near-term catalysts.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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