Recent monthly Japan core-core CPI readings, excluding fresh food and energy, have moderated to 1.7-1.9% through mid-2026 amid government energy subsidies, favorable base effects, and softer import pressures, keeping the measure near or below the Bank of Japan's 2% target for several periods. This trajectory underpins the near-even split between the 2.0-2.4% bucket at 53.5% implied probability and ≤1.9% at 47%, as traders weigh sticky domestic demand and wage-driven service inflation against downside risks from subsidies and slowing global commodity prices. BOJ fiscal 2026 projections around 2.2-2.5% and upcoming releases on labor costs, retail sales, and yen volatility remain key swing factors that could shift the aggregated market consensus ahead of full-year resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateJapan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026
Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026
2.0-2.4% 54%
≤1.9% 47%
4.0%+ 1.6%
3.0-3.4% 1.4%
$36,674 Vol.
$36,674 Vol.
Feb 12, 2027
≤1.9%
47%
2.0-2.4%
54%
2.5-2.9%
1%
3.0-3.4%
1%
3.5-3.9%
<1%
4.0%+
2%
2.0-2.4% 54%
≤1.9% 47%
4.0%+ 1.6%
3.0-3.4% 1.4%
$36,674 Vol.
$36,674 Vol.
Feb 12, 2027
≤1.9%
$11,113 Vol.
47%
2.0-2.4%
$14,934 Vol.
54%
2.5-2.9%
$8,356 Vol.
1%
3.0-3.4%
$663 Vol.
1%
3.5-3.9%
$719 Vol.
<1%
4.0%+
$889 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food and energy (All items less fresh food and energy, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Recent monthly Japan core-core CPI readings, excluding fresh food and energy, have moderated to 1.7-1.9% through mid-2026 amid government energy subsidies, favorable base effects, and softer import pressures, keeping the measure near or below the Bank of Japan's 2% target for several periods. This trajectory underpins the near-even split between the 2.0-2.4% bucket at 53.5% implied probability and ≤1.9% at 47%, as traders weigh sticky domestic demand and wage-driven service inflation against downside risks from subsidies and slowing global commodity prices. BOJ fiscal 2026 projections around 2.2-2.5% and upcoming releases on labor costs, retail sales, and yen volatility remain key swing factors that could shift the aggregated market consensus ahead of full-year resolution.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food and energy (All items less fresh food and energy, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Binuksan ang Market: Jun 17, 2026, 7:26 PM ET
Volume
$36,674Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Feb 12, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Jun 17, 2026, 7:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food and energy (All items less fresh food and energy, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Recent monthly Japan core-core CPI readings, excluding fresh food and energy, have moderated to 1.7-1.9% through mid-2026 amid government energy subsidies, favorable base effects, and softer import pressures, keeping the measure near or below the Bank of Japan's 2% target for several periods. This trajectory underpins the near-even split between the 2.0-2.4% bucket at 53.5% implied probability and ≤1.9% at 47%, as traders weigh sticky domestic demand and wage-driven service inflation against downside risks from subsidies and slowing global commodity prices. BOJ fiscal 2026 projections around 2.2-2.5% and upcoming releases on labor costs, retail sales, and yen volatility remain key swing factors that could shift the aggregated market consensus ahead of full-year resolution.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food and energy (All items less fresh food and energy, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Volume
$36,674Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Feb 12, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Jun 17, 2026, 7:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent monthly Japan core-core CPI readings, excluding fresh food and energy, have moderated to 1.7-1.9% through mid-2026 amid government energy subsidies, favorable base effects, and softer import pressures, keeping the measure near or below the Bank of Japan's 2% target for several periods. This trajectory underpins the near-even split between the 2.0-2.4% bucket at 53.5% implied probability and ≤1.9% at 47%, as traders weigh sticky domestic demand and wage-driven service inflation against downside risks from subsidies and slowing global commodity prices. BOJ fiscal 2026 projections around 2.2-2.5% and upcoming releases on labor costs, retail sales, and yen volatility remain key swing factors that could shift the aggregated market consensus ahead of full-year resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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