US strikes Iran by...?

Parent For Derivative

Politics

US strikes Iran by...?

53%

June 30

$230m Vol.

$14m today

$2m Liq.

2

Ends in 5 months

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Parent For Derivative

Politics

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

95%

Kevin Warsh

$452m Vol.

$9m today

$61m Liq.

1,480

Ends in 11 months

Fed decision in March?

Parent For Derivative

Politics

Fed decision in March?

80%

No change

$86m Vol.

$4m today

$3m Liq.

418

Ends in about 1 month

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Parent For Derivative

Culture

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

4%

$2m Vol.

$604k today

$1m Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Parent For Derivative

Politics

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

17%

$11m Vol.

$194k today

$326k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner

Parent For Derivative

Politics

Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner

61%

Ken Paxton

$4m Vol.

$163k today

$105k Liq.

Ends in 20 days

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Parent For Derivative

Politics

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

12%

$27m Vol.

$559k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Parent For Derivative

Politics

Which party will win the House in 2026?

82%

Democratic Party

$3m Vol.

$490k Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Parent For Derivative

Politics

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

63%

Republican Party

$532k Vol.

$189k Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Parent For Derivative.

Polymarket currently hosts 9 active markets for Parent For Derivative that lets you track or trade on predictions like "US strikes Iran by...?". Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $816.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like "Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?". You buy shares in "yes" or "no" outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that's a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like "Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?," you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is "Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?," where the crowd is currently assigning a 95% chance to Kevin Warsh. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Parent For Derivative predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.