**IAEA access to Iran's Isfahan, Fordow, and Natanz enrichment sites remains blocked since the June 2025 strikes, with inspectors denied entry to verify stockpiles of highly enriched uranium or facility status.** An interim June 2026 US-Iran understanding referenced IAEA supervision for nuclear material activities, prompting Director General Rafael Grossi to state that inspections would occur and modalities would be discussed promptly. Iran has countered that visits to damaged sites require agreed protocols or must await a final agreement and sanctions relief, while maintaining its parliamentary suspension of cooperation. The IAEA's early September 2026 report highlighted the resulting information gap as a proliferation concern and urged urgent access ahead of the Board of Governors meeting later that month. Satellite imagery continues to show activity at sites like Isfahan tunnels, but without on-site verification, traders assess near-term visits against these persistent diplomatic and procedural hurdles.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiIAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?
$374,320 Vol.
Oct 31, 2026
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December 31
13%
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October 31
$83,994 Vol.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.**IAEA access to Iran's Isfahan, Fordow, and Natanz enrichment sites remains blocked since the June 2025 strikes, with inspectors denied entry to verify stockpiles of highly enriched uranium or facility status.** An interim June 2026 US-Iran understanding referenced IAEA supervision for nuclear material activities, prompting Director General Rafael Grossi to state that inspections would occur and modalities would be discussed promptly. Iran has countered that visits to damaged sites require agreed protocols or must await a final agreement and sanctions relief, while maintaining its parliamentary suspension of cooperation. The IAEA's early September 2026 report highlighted the resulting information gap as a proliferation concern and urged urgent access ahead of the Board of Governors meeting later that month. Satellite imagery continues to show activity at sites like Isfahan tunnels, but without on-site verification, traders assess near-term visits against these persistent diplomatic and procedural hurdles.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 8, 2026, 8:34 PM ET
Volume
$374,320Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jul 8, 2026, 8:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.**IAEA access to Iran's Isfahan, Fordow, and Natanz enrichment sites remains blocked since the June 2025 strikes, with inspectors denied entry to verify stockpiles of highly enriched uranium or facility status.** An interim June 2026 US-Iran understanding referenced IAEA supervision for nuclear material activities, prompting Director General Rafael Grossi to state that inspections would occur and modalities would be discussed promptly. Iran has countered that visits to damaged sites require agreed protocols or must await a final agreement and sanctions relief, while maintaining its parliamentary suspension of cooperation. The IAEA's early September 2026 report highlighted the resulting information gap as a proliferation concern and urged urgent access ahead of the Board of Governors meeting later that month. Satellite imagery continues to show activity at sites like Isfahan tunnels, but without on-site verification, traders assess near-term visits against these persistent diplomatic and procedural hurdles.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$374,320Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jul 8, 2026, 8:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**IAEA access to Iran's Isfahan, Fordow, and Natanz enrichment sites remains blocked since the June 2025 strikes, with inspectors denied entry to verify stockpiles of highly enriched uranium or facility status.** An interim June 2026 US-Iran understanding referenced IAEA supervision for nuclear material activities, prompting Director General Rafael Grossi to state that inspections would occur and modalities would be discussed promptly. Iran has countered that visits to damaged sites require agreed protocols or must await a final agreement and sanctions relief, while maintaining its parliamentary suspension of cooperation. The IAEA's early September 2026 report highlighted the resulting information gap as a proliferation concern and urged urgent access ahead of the Board of Governors meeting later that month. Satellite imagery continues to show activity at sites like Isfahan tunnels, but without on-site verification, traders assess near-term visits against these persistent diplomatic and procedural hurdles.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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