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Employment Rate predictions & odds

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May Unemployment Rate

May Unemployment Rate

38%

4.3%

$508 Vol.

$26.8K Liq.

Ends in 19 days

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

9%

$6.3K Vol.

$1.2K Liq.

2

Ends in 9 months

US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

32%

Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)

$3.4K Vol.

$2.5K Liq.

1

Ends in 9 months

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

28%

5.0%

$389K Vol.

$17.6K Liq.

13

Ends in 8 months

How many jobs added in May?

How many jobs added in May?

41%

100k – 150k

$412 Vol.

$15.0K Liq.

Ends in 19 days

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

85%

Up

$25.3K Vol.

$8.9K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026

Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026

68%

1.0-2.0%

$8.7K Vol.

$5.5K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

98%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$1M Vol.

$74.2K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

62%

3.75%

$7M Vol.

$144K Liq.

7

Ends in 7 months

Will Zoom Q1 online average monthly churn rate be at least __?

Will Zoom Q1 online average monthly churn rate be at least __?

41%

3.0%

$3.7K Vol.

$158 Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Zelenskyy # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

48%

80-99

$7.1K Vol.

$4.4K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Will Workday Q1 total subscription revenue backlog be above __?

Will Workday Q1 total subscription revenue backlog be above __?

91%

$27.5B

$619 Vol.

$105 Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Argentina Official USD Exchange Rate end of 2026?

Argentina Official USD Exchange Rate end of 2026?

44%

1600.00+

$7.0K Vol.

$9.4K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Major US official out by May 31?

Major US official out by May 31?

16%

$19.8K Vol.

$10.8K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Zelenskyy # posts May 19 - May 26, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts May 19 - May 26, 2026?

35%

80-99

$833 Vol.

$2.2K Liq.

Ends in 10 days

US recession by end of 2026?

US recession by end of 2026?

24%

$1M Vol.

$19.5K Liq.

66

Ends in 9 months

Zelenskyy # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

50%

80-99

$18.7K Vol.

$7.1K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Argentina Official USD Exchange Rate end of 2026? (Higher Brackets)

Argentina Official USD Exchange Rate end of 2026? (Higher Brackets)

49%

<1600.00

$18.4K Vol.

$6.6K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

White House # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

White House # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

51%

160-179

$8.9K Vol.

$19.6K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Will CrowdStrike Q1 net new ARR be above __?

Will CrowdStrike Q1 net new ARR be above __?

51%

$225M

$0 Vol.

$66 Liq.

Ends in 18 days

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 104 active markets for Employment Rate that lets you track or trade on predictions like “May Unemployment Rate”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $9.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 62% chance to 3.75%. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Employment Rate predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.