Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

36%

$92.7K Vol.

$14.9K Liq.

15

Ends in 9 months

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

97%

SpaceX

$56.8K Vol.

$8.5K Liq.

1

Ends in over 1 year

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

91%

SpaceX

$7.3K Vol.

$3.2K Liq.

5

Ends in over 1 year

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

6%

$102K Vol.

$7.0K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

7%

$1.1K Vol.

$7.9K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

76%

$10.4K Vol.

$9.8K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

𝕏 Money launched by...?

𝕏 Money launched by...?

60%

April 30

$7.0K Vol.

$9.8K Liq.

1

Ends in 26 days

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

57%

Anthropic

$51.0K Vol.

$4.3K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

OpenAI acquired before 2027?

OpenAI acquired before 2027?

12%

$0 Vol.

$1.7K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Elon Phoenix vs. Stony Brook Seawolves (W)

Elon Phoenix vs. Stony Brook Seawolves (W)

Stony Brook Seawolves

$43 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?

Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?

25%

$0 Vol.

$5.3K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

29%

$47.5K Vol.

$5.6K Liq.

9

Ends in 9 months

Elon Musk # tweets April 2 - April 4, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets April 2 - April 4, 2026?

56%

90-114

$1M Vol.

$721K today

$122K Liq.

Ends in about 19 hours

Elon Bull Run Parlay

Elon Bull Run Parlay

17%

$9.2K Vol.

$5.8K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

77%

$800B

$1M Vol.

$19.9K Liq.

2

Ends in over 1 year

Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?

Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?

8%

$3.2K Vol.

$4.5K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Elon Musk # tweets April 3 - April 10, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets April 3 - April 10, 2026?

18%

300-319

$868K Vol.

$239K today

$1M Liq.

Ends in 7 days

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

17%

70%+

$18.5K Vol.

$1.3K Liq.

4

Ends in 3 months

Elon Musk # tweets April 4 - April 6, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets April 4 - April 6, 2026?

33%

65-89

$136K Vol.

$136K today

$65.0K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Northeastern Huskies vs. Elon Phoenix (W)

Northeastern Huskies vs. Elon Phoenix (W)

Elon Phoenix

$69 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Elon Vs. OpenAI.

Polymarket currently hosts 126 active markets for Elon Vs. OpenAI that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $3.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 77% chance to $800B. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Elon Vs. OpenAI predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.