OpenAI’s rapid iteration on the GPT-5 series, highlighted by GPT-5.5’s April 23, 2026 release and subsequent May updates to its Instant variant, is fueling trader focus on a near-term GPT-5.6 launch. Internal Codex routing logs spotted in May revealed early testing of the next model, while competitive pressure from Anthropic’s stronger Fable 5 / Opus 4.8 benchmarks has accelerated OpenAI’s development timeline. Speculation centers on a possible mid-to-late June rollout, with prediction markets assigning high implied probability to availability before July amid ongoing model retirements and ChatGPT platform refinements. No official announcement or system card has appeared as of mid-June, leaving outcomes dependent on verifiable public availability rather than leaks alone.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$936,698 Vol.
Jun 15, 2026
June 15
1%
June 30
76%
June 23
30%
July 31
94%
$936,698 Vol.
June 15
$247,350 Vol.
1%
June 30
$126,977 Vol.
76%
June 23
$10,778 Vol.
30%
July 31
$203,814 Vol.
94%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI’s rapid iteration on the GPT-5 series, highlighted by GPT-5.5’s April 23, 2026 release and subsequent May updates to its Instant variant, is fueling trader focus on a near-term GPT-5.6 launch. Internal Codex routing logs spotted in May revealed early testing of the next model, while competitive pressure from Anthropic’s stronger Fable 5 / Opus 4.8 benchmarks has accelerated OpenAI’s development timeline. Speculation centers on a possible mid-to-late June rollout, with prediction markets assigning high implied probability to availability before July amid ongoing model retirements and ChatGPT platform refinements. No official announcement or system card has appeared as of mid-June, leaving outcomes dependent on verifiable public availability rather than leaks alone.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: May 15, 2026, 10:22 AM ET
Volume
$936,698Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 10:22 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI’s rapid iteration on the GPT-5 series, highlighted by GPT-5.5’s April 23, 2026 release and subsequent May updates to its Instant variant, is fueling trader focus on a near-term GPT-5.6 launch. Internal Codex routing logs spotted in May revealed early testing of the next model, while competitive pressure from Anthropic’s stronger Fable 5 / Opus 4.8 benchmarks has accelerated OpenAI’s development timeline. Speculation centers on a possible mid-to-late June rollout, with prediction markets assigning high implied probability to availability before July amid ongoing model retirements and ChatGPT platform refinements. No official announcement or system card has appeared as of mid-June, leaving outcomes dependent on verifiable public availability rather than leaks alone.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$936,698Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 10:22 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s rapid iteration on the GPT-5 series, highlighted by GPT-5.5’s April 23, 2026 release and subsequent May updates to its Instant variant, is fueling trader focus on a near-term GPT-5.6 launch. Internal Codex routing logs spotted in May revealed early testing of the next model, while competitive pressure from Anthropic’s stronger Fable 5 / Opus 4.8 benchmarks has accelerated OpenAI’s development timeline. Speculation centers on a possible mid-to-late June rollout, with prediction markets assigning high implied probability to availability before July amid ongoing model retirements and ChatGPT platform refinements. No official announcement or system card has appeared as of mid-June, leaving outcomes dependent on verifiable public availability rather than leaks alone.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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