OpenAI has not officially announced or released GPT-5.6 as of June 15, 2026, with GPT-5.5 remaining the confirmed flagship following its April 23 launch and subsequent May updates to the Instant variant. Trader sentiment for a June 30 release (implied probabilities near 90% on related Polymarket contracts) stems primarily from a May 14 Codex backend log sighting of a GPT-5.6 routing entry, unverified internal memos pointing to a June 17–18 window, and OpenAI’s accelerated 5.x cadence amid competitive pressure from other labs. These signals reflect real internal testing progress rather than speculation, though timelines can slip due to safety reviews or scaling issues. Key upcoming catalysts include any system card publication, API rollout notices, or statements from leadership that would confirm general availability.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$970,662 Vol.
Jun 15, 2026
June 15
<1%
June 30
85%
June 23
13%
July 31
95%
$970,662 Vol.
June 15
$269,061 Vol.
<1%
June 30
$131,479 Vol.
85%
June 23
$12,687 Vol.
13%
July 31
$209,593 Vol.
95%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI has not officially announced or released GPT-5.6 as of June 15, 2026, with GPT-5.5 remaining the confirmed flagship following its April 23 launch and subsequent May updates to the Instant variant. Trader sentiment for a June 30 release (implied probabilities near 90% on related Polymarket contracts) stems primarily from a May 14 Codex backend log sighting of a GPT-5.6 routing entry, unverified internal memos pointing to a June 17–18 window, and OpenAI’s accelerated 5.x cadence amid competitive pressure from other labs. These signals reflect real internal testing progress rather than speculation, though timelines can slip due to safety reviews or scaling issues. Key upcoming catalysts include any system card publication, API rollout notices, or statements from leadership that would confirm general availability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: May 15, 2026, 10:22 AM ET
Volume
$970,662Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 10:22 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI has not officially announced or released GPT-5.6 as of June 15, 2026, with GPT-5.5 remaining the confirmed flagship following its April 23 launch and subsequent May updates to the Instant variant. Trader sentiment for a June 30 release (implied probabilities near 90% on related Polymarket contracts) stems primarily from a May 14 Codex backend log sighting of a GPT-5.6 routing entry, unverified internal memos pointing to a June 17–18 window, and OpenAI’s accelerated 5.x cadence amid competitive pressure from other labs. These signals reflect real internal testing progress rather than speculation, though timelines can slip due to safety reviews or scaling issues. Key upcoming catalysts include any system card publication, API rollout notices, or statements from leadership that would confirm general availability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$970,662Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 10:22 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI has not officially announced or released GPT-5.6 as of June 15, 2026, with GPT-5.5 remaining the confirmed flagship following its April 23 launch and subsequent May updates to the Instant variant. Trader sentiment for a June 30 release (implied probabilities near 90% on related Polymarket contracts) stems primarily from a May 14 Codex backend log sighting of a GPT-5.6 routing entry, unverified internal memos pointing to a June 17–18 window, and OpenAI’s accelerated 5.x cadence amid competitive pressure from other labs. These signals reflect real internal testing progress rather than speculation, though timelines can slip due to safety reviews or scaling issues. Key upcoming catalysts include any system card publication, API rollout notices, or statements from leadership that would confirm general availability.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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