Anthropic’s Claude 5-series models, particularly Fable 5.1, Opus 5, and Mythos 5, currently lead Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboards with top scores of 59–65% depending on evaluation conditions such as tool use and reasoning effort. These results stem from iterative advances in chain-of-thought reasoning, adaptive scaffolding, and integration of external tools on the 2,500-question benchmark spanning graduate-level mathematics, sciences, and humanities. The rapid climb from low double digits earlier in 2026 reflects focused scaling and post-training refinements at Anthropic, outpacing GPT-5 variants and Gemini releases. With several months remaining in 2026, further model iterations or capability unlocks could push the frontier higher before year-end resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$88,996 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
55%+
90%
60%+
45%
65%+
23%
70%+
7%
75%+
6%
$88,996 Vol.
55%+
$18,754 Vol.
90%
60%+
$38,779 Vol.
45%
65%+
$26,320 Vol.
23%
70%+
$3,859 Vol.
7%
75%+
$1,284 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Anthropic’s Claude 5-series models, particularly Fable 5.1, Opus 5, and Mythos 5, currently lead Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboards with top scores of 59–65% depending on evaluation conditions such as tool use and reasoning effort. These results stem from iterative advances in chain-of-thought reasoning, adaptive scaffolding, and integration of external tools on the 2,500-question benchmark spanning graduate-level mathematics, sciences, and humanities. The rapid climb from low double digits earlier in 2026 reflects focused scaling and post-training refinements at Anthropic, outpacing GPT-5 variants and Gemini releases. With several months remaining in 2026, further model iterations or capability unlocks could push the frontier higher before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 23, 2026, 6:42 PM ET
Volume
$88,996Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jul 23, 2026, 6:42 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://agi.safe.ai/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Anthropic’s Claude 5-series models, particularly Fable 5.1, Opus 5, and Mythos 5, currently lead Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboards with top scores of 59–65% depending on evaluation conditions such as tool use and reasoning effort. These results stem from iterative advances in chain-of-thought reasoning, adaptive scaffolding, and integration of external tools on the 2,500-question benchmark spanning graduate-level mathematics, sciences, and humanities. The rapid climb from low double digits earlier in 2026 reflects focused scaling and post-training refinements at Anthropic, outpacing GPT-5 variants and Gemini releases. With several months remaining in 2026, further model iterations or capability unlocks could push the frontier higher before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Volume
$88,996Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jul 23, 2026, 6:42 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://agi.safe.ai/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s Claude 5-series models, particularly Fable 5.1, Opus 5, and Mythos 5, currently lead Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboards with top scores of 59–65% depending on evaluation conditions such as tool use and reasoning effort. These results stem from iterative advances in chain-of-thought reasoning, adaptive scaffolding, and integration of external tools on the 2,500-question benchmark spanning graduate-level mathematics, sciences, and humanities. The rapid climb from low double digits earlier in 2026 reflects focused scaling and post-training refinements at Anthropic, outpacing GPT-5 variants and Gemini releases. With several months remaining in 2026, further model iterations or capability unlocks could push the frontier higher before year-end resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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