Trader consensus heavily favors “No” on Elon Musk securing full custody of his son Romulus with Ashley St. Clair, reflecting the steep legal barriers in family court where joint custody is the default presumption and the child’s best interest governs outcomes. Confirmed reporting shows St. Clair filed for sole custody in early 2025, citing Musk’s limited early involvement, while Musk publicly announced plans to seek full custody in January 2026 following her statements on transgender issues; the case remains unresolved with no final rulings reported. Recent developments, including St. Clair’s public appearances and disputes over prior financial offers, underscore ongoing litigation without clear momentum toward sole custody for either parent. Realistic shifts could occur only through verified court findings on fitness or a negotiated agreement, though such results are historically uncommon in similar high-profile matters.