OpenAI’s recent cadence of frontier model releases continues to shape trader expectations, with GPT-5.5 launched on April 23, 2026 as the company’s most capable system yet for complex reasoning, coding, tool use, and research tasks. This followed the March 5 debut of GPT-5.4, which integrated advanced agentic workflows and a 1-million-token context window, and incremental updates to GPT-5.4 variants through mid-March. These iterative improvements—emphasizing fewer errors, better tool integration, and professional productivity—reflect OpenAI’s strategy of frequent, capability-focused updates amid competition from models like Claude 4.6 and Gemini 3.1. No major new frontier release has occurred in the past month, though specialized variants such as GPT-Rosalind for life sciences appeared in April, underscoring ongoing internal development that could influence timelines for the next major leap.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$13,328 Vol.
May 31, 2026
May 31
9%
June 30
88%
September 30
96%
$13,328 Vol.
May 31
$2,275 Vol.
9%
June 30
$2,812 Vol.
88%
September 30
$8,241 Vol.
96%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI makes a new frontier model available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For this market to resolve to “Yes”, OpenAI’s new frontier model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
A frontier model refers to a newly released OpenAI model that OpenAI describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models.
Qualifying new frontier models include successors to existing frontier models, such as GPT 5.2, which could succeed GPT 5.1 in the same way that GPT 5.1 succeeded GPT 5. Models focused on a specific task such as image generation or which are versions of a previous model optimized for a specific task (i.e. GPT 5.1-codex) or for cost-efficiency (i.e. GPT-5 mini) will not count.
Qualifying frontier models which are separate from the OpenAI GPT series will count. A qualifying new model from OpenAI’s o-series (i.e. o1, o3) will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI’s recent cadence of frontier model releases continues to shape trader expectations, with GPT-5.5 launched on April 23, 2026 as the company’s most capable system yet for complex reasoning, coding, tool use, and research tasks. This followed the March 5 debut of GPT-5.4, which integrated advanced agentic workflows and a 1-million-token context window, and incremental updates to GPT-5.4 variants through mid-March. These iterative improvements—emphasizing fewer errors, better tool integration, and professional productivity—reflect OpenAI’s strategy of frequent, capability-focused updates amid competition from models like Claude 4.6 and Gemini 3.1. No major new frontier release has occurred in the past month, though specialized variants such as GPT-Rosalind for life sciences appeared in April, underscoring ongoing internal development that could influence timelines for the next major leap.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI makes a new frontier model available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For this market to resolve to “Yes”, OpenAI’s new frontier model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
A frontier model refers to a newly released OpenAI model that OpenAI describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models.
Qualifying new frontier models include successors to existing frontier models, such as GPT 5.2, which could succeed GPT 5.1 in the same way that GPT 5.1 succeeded GPT 5. Models focused on a specific task such as image generation or which are versions of a previous model optimized for a specific task (i.e. GPT 5.1-codex) or for cost-efficiency (i.e. GPT-5 mini) will not count.
Qualifying frontier models which are separate from the OpenAI GPT series will count. A qualifying new model from OpenAI’s o-series (i.e. o1, o3) will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
For this market to resolve to “Yes”, OpenAI’s new frontier model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
A frontier model refers to a newly released OpenAI model that OpenAI describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models.
Qualifying new frontier models include successors to existing frontier models, such as GPT 5.2, which could succeed GPT 5.1 in the same way that GPT 5.1 succeeded GPT 5. Models focused on a specific task such as image generation or which are versions of a previous model optimized for a specific task (i.e. GPT 5.1-codex) or for cost-efficiency (i.e. GPT-5 mini) will not count.
Qualifying frontier models which are separate from the OpenAI GPT series will count. A qualifying new model from OpenAI’s o-series (i.e. o1, o3) will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: May 3, 2026, 10:42 AM ET
Volume
$13,328Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 3, 2026, 10:42 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI makes a new frontier model available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For this market to resolve to “Yes”, OpenAI’s new frontier model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
A frontier model refers to a newly released OpenAI model that OpenAI describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models.
Qualifying new frontier models include successors to existing frontier models, such as GPT 5.2, which could succeed GPT 5.1 in the same way that GPT 5.1 succeeded GPT 5. Models focused on a specific task such as image generation or which are versions of a previous model optimized for a specific task (i.e. GPT 5.1-codex) or for cost-efficiency (i.e. GPT-5 mini) will not count.
Qualifying frontier models which are separate from the OpenAI GPT series will count. A qualifying new model from OpenAI’s o-series (i.e. o1, o3) will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI’s recent cadence of frontier model releases continues to shape trader expectations, with GPT-5.5 launched on April 23, 2026 as the company’s most capable system yet for complex reasoning, coding, tool use, and research tasks. This followed the March 5 debut of GPT-5.4, which integrated advanced agentic workflows and a 1-million-token context window, and incremental updates to GPT-5.4 variants through mid-March. These iterative improvements—emphasizing fewer errors, better tool integration, and professional productivity—reflect OpenAI’s strategy of frequent, capability-focused updates amid competition from models like Claude 4.6 and Gemini 3.1. No major new frontier release has occurred in the past month, though specialized variants such as GPT-Rosalind for life sciences appeared in April, underscoring ongoing internal development that could influence timelines for the next major leap.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI makes a new frontier model available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For this market to resolve to “Yes”, OpenAI’s new frontier model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
A frontier model refers to a newly released OpenAI model that OpenAI describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models.
Qualifying new frontier models include successors to existing frontier models, such as GPT 5.2, which could succeed GPT 5.1 in the same way that GPT 5.1 succeeded GPT 5. Models focused on a specific task such as image generation or which are versions of a previous model optimized for a specific task (i.e. GPT 5.1-codex) or for cost-efficiency (i.e. GPT-5 mini) will not count.
Qualifying frontier models which are separate from the OpenAI GPT series will count. A qualifying new model from OpenAI’s o-series (i.e. o1, o3) will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
For this market to resolve to “Yes”, OpenAI’s new frontier model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
A frontier model refers to a newly released OpenAI model that OpenAI describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models.
Qualifying new frontier models include successors to existing frontier models, such as GPT 5.2, which could succeed GPT 5.1 in the same way that GPT 5.1 succeeded GPT 5. Models focused on a specific task such as image generation or which are versions of a previous model optimized for a specific task (i.e. GPT 5.1-codex) or for cost-efficiency (i.e. GPT-5 mini) will not count.
Qualifying frontier models which are separate from the OpenAI GPT series will count. A qualifying new model from OpenAI’s o-series (i.e. o1, o3) will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$13,328Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 3, 2026, 10:42 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s recent cadence of frontier model releases continues to shape trader expectations, with GPT-5.5 launched on April 23, 2026 as the company’s most capable system yet for complex reasoning, coding, tool use, and research tasks. This followed the March 5 debut of GPT-5.4, which integrated advanced agentic workflows and a 1-million-token context window, and incremental updates to GPT-5.4 variants through mid-March. These iterative improvements—emphasizing fewer errors, better tool integration, and professional productivity—reflect OpenAI’s strategy of frequent, capability-focused updates amid competition from models like Claude 4.6 and Gemini 3.1. No major new frontier release has occurred in the past month, though specialized variants such as GPT-Rosalind for life sciences appeared in April, underscoring ongoing internal development that could influence timelines for the next major leap.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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