Traders assign just a 6.5% chance to the Elon Bull Run Parlay resolving Yes by year-end, reflecting skepticism that Musk will simultaneously sustain or regain trillionaire status, welcome another child, and complete nine or more successful Starship orbital flights. Post-June SpaceX IPO volatility has driven sharp swings in Tesla and related valuations, while July 2026 flight tests demonstrated reusability gains but underscored persistent cadence and technical hurdles that make the launch threshold ambitious. No confirmed reports of additional Musk children have surfaced, further anchoring the strong No consensus. Still, accelerated Starship progress, AI-driven rebounds in xAI and Tesla valuations, or unexpected personal developments could shift the aggregated trader sentiment if they align before December.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui5% peluang
$11,888 Vol.
$11,888 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
5% peluang
$11,888 Vol.
$11,888 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Elon Musk trillionaire
- Another Elon baby
- 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdfTraders assign just a 6.5% chance to the Elon Bull Run Parlay resolving Yes by year-end, reflecting skepticism that Musk will simultaneously sustain or regain trillionaire status, welcome another child, and complete nine or more successful Starship orbital flights. Post-June SpaceX IPO volatility has driven sharp swings in Tesla and related valuations, while July 2026 flight tests demonstrated reusability gains but underscored persistent cadence and technical hurdles that make the launch threshold ambitious. No confirmed reports of additional Musk children have surfaced, further anchoring the strong No consensus. Still, accelerated Starship progress, AI-driven rebounds in xAI and Tesla valuations, or unexpected personal developments could shift the aggregated trader sentiment if they align before December.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Elon Musk trillionaire
- Another Elon baby
- 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdf
- Elon Musk trillionaire
- Another Elon baby
- 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdf
Pasar Dibuka: Feb 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ET
Volume
$11,888Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Feb 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Elon Musk trillionaire
- Another Elon baby
- 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdfTraders assign just a 6.5% chance to the Elon Bull Run Parlay resolving Yes by year-end, reflecting skepticism that Musk will simultaneously sustain or regain trillionaire status, welcome another child, and complete nine or more successful Starship orbital flights. Post-June SpaceX IPO volatility has driven sharp swings in Tesla and related valuations, while July 2026 flight tests demonstrated reusability gains but underscored persistent cadence and technical hurdles that make the launch threshold ambitious. No confirmed reports of additional Musk children have surfaced, further anchoring the strong No consensus. Still, accelerated Starship progress, AI-driven rebounds in xAI and Tesla valuations, or unexpected personal developments could shift the aggregated trader sentiment if they align before December.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Elon Musk trillionaire
- Another Elon baby
- 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdf
- Elon Musk trillionaire
- Another Elon baby
- 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdf
Volume
$11,888Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Feb 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders assign just a 6.5% chance to the Elon Bull Run Parlay resolving Yes by year-end, reflecting skepticism that Musk will simultaneously sustain or regain trillionaire status, welcome another child, and complete nine or more successful Starship orbital flights. Post-June SpaceX IPO volatility has driven sharp swings in Tesla and related valuations, while July 2026 flight tests demonstrated reusability gains but underscored persistent cadence and technical hurdles that make the launch threshold ambitious. No confirmed reports of additional Musk children have surfaced, further anchoring the strong No consensus. Still, accelerated Starship progress, AI-driven rebounds in xAI and Tesla valuations, or unexpected personal developments could shift the aggregated trader sentiment if they align before December.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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