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Teknologi·Parlays

Elon Bull Run Parlay

Market icon
Teknologi·Parlays

Elon Bull Run Parlay

16% peluang
Polymarket
BARU
16% peluang
Polymarket
BARU
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Elon Musk trillionaire - Another Elon baby - 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdfTrader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 83.5% for the Elon Bull Run Parlay, reflecting skepticism that all three 2026 milestones—Elon Musk reaching trillionaire status, announcing another child, and SpaceX achieving 9+ Starship launches reaching space—will occur by year-end. Recent Starship Flight 12 delays to early May, announced April 3 amid Version 3 hardware upgrades and Raptor engine refinements, underscore persistent testing hurdles, with zero orbital attempts logged in 2026 so far and historical cadence far below the required ~1.5 per month. Musk's net worth hovers near $800 billion, buoyed by Tesla's April 17 rally to $400/share and SpaceX's early-month IPO filing post-xAI merger valuing the combined entity at $1.25 trillion, yet volatility tempers trillionaire odds. No fresh baby announcements further caps parlay viability, with upcoming Starship tests and regulatory filings as key catalysts.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:

- Elon Musk trillionaire
- Another Elon baby
- 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdf
Volume
$9,514
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Feb 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Elon Musk trillionaire - Another Elon baby - 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdf
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Elon Musk trillionaire - Another Elon baby - 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdfTrader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 83.5% for the Elon Bull Run Parlay, reflecting skepticism that all three 2026 milestones—Elon Musk reaching trillionaire status, announcing another child, and SpaceX achieving 9+ Starship launches reaching space—will occur by year-end. Recent Starship Flight 12 delays to early May, announced April 3 amid Version 3 hardware upgrades and Raptor engine refinements, underscore persistent testing hurdles, with zero orbital attempts logged in 2026 so far and historical cadence far below the required ~1.5 per month. Musk's net worth hovers near $800 billion, buoyed by Tesla's April 17 rally to $400/share and SpaceX's early-month IPO filing post-xAI merger valuing the combined entity at $1.25 trillion, yet volatility tempers trillionaire odds. No fresh baby announcements further caps parlay viability, with upcoming Starship tests and regulatory filings as key catalysts.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:

- Elon Musk trillionaire
- Another Elon baby
- 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdf
Volume
$9,514
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Feb 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Elon Musk trillionaire - Another Elon baby - 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdf

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Elon Bull Run Parlay" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham "Ya" atau "Tidak" berdasarkan apakah mereka yakin event ini akan terjadi. Probabilitas crowd-sourced saat ini adalah 17% untuk "Yes." Misalnya, jika "Ya" dihargai 17¢, pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 17% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Elon Bull Run Parlay" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Feb 6, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Elon Bull Run Parlay," cukup pilih apakah kamu yakin jawabannya "Ya" atau "Tidak." Setiap sisi memiliki harga saat ini yang mencerminkan probabilitas tersirat pasar. Masukkan jumlah kamu dan klik "Trade." Jika kamu membeli saham "Ya" dan hasilnya diselesaikan sebagai "Ya," setiap saham membayar $1. Jika diselesaikan sebagai "Tidak," saham "Ya" kamu bernilai $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Probabilitas saat ini untuk "Elon Bull Run Parlay" adalah 17% untuk "Yes." Ini berarti keramaian Polymarket saat ini percaya ada peluang 17% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time berdasarkan trade aktual, memberikan sinyal yang terus diperbarui tentang apa yang diharapkan pasar.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Elon Bull Run Parlay" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.