Will any country leave NATO by...?

Will any country leave NATO by...?

12%

December 31, 2026

$665K Vol.

$128K Liq.

24

Ends in 9 months

Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?

Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?

4%

June 30, 2026

$4M Vol.

$55.8K Liq.

56

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

24%

$199K Vol.

$49.7K Liq.

15

Ends in 9 months

EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?

EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?

97%

June 30

$111K Vol.

$30.9K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

10%

$103K Vol.

$15.9K Liq.

11

Ends in 3 months

Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?

Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?

11%

$1.7K Vol.

$11.4K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?

Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?

18%

$852 Vol.

$13.2K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30?

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30?

20%

$1.9K Vol.

$19.8K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Will Russia invade another country in 2026?

Will Russia invade another country in 2026?

13%

$55.5K Vol.

$28.7K Liq.

10

Ends in 9 months

X banned in any European country by December 31?

X banned in any European country by December 31?

20%

$1.4K Vol.

$19.2K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?

Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?

14%

$487 Vol.

$9.9K Liq.

1

Ends in 3 months

Will a new country buy Bitcoin by...?

Will a new country buy Bitcoin by...?

51%

December 31, 2026

$29.3K Vol.

$2.0K Liq.

24

Ends in 9 months

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

27%

Kuwait

$365K Vol.

$69.1K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?

Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?

7%

$111K Vol.

$47.4K Liq.

12

Ends in 9 months

Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?

Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?

29%

$5.6K Vol.

$4.9K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Which countries will conduct military action against Iran by April 30?

Which countries will conduct military action against Iran by April 30?

25%

UAE

$1M Vol.

$182K today

$331K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

47%

No Meeting by June 30

$569K Vol.

$206K Liq.

13

Ends in 3 months

How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

31%

7

$735K Vol.

$108K Liq.

23

Ends in 9 months

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

41%

4

$6M Vol.

$189K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Iran military action against ___ by March 31?

Iran military action against ___ by March 31?

85%

UAE

$5M Vol.

$620K today

$3M Liq.

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Country Policies.

Polymarket currently hosts 149 active markets for Country Policies that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will any country leave NATO by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $19.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 41% chance to 4. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Country Policies predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.