Trader consensus on an 85.5% implied probability for "No" stems from the absence of confirmed entry denials to any additional countries since Ye's high-profile UK visa rejection on April 7, 2026, when the Home Office deemed his presence "not conducive to the public good" amid backlash over antisemitic remarks. That decision prompted Wireless Festival's cancellation and gig postponements in France and other European spots, but no formal bans followed, with no new inflammatory statements or legal actions reported in the past month. While his ongoing TOUR 2026 faces scrutiny, traders see limited momentum for further official blocks before June 30, though surprise tour announcements or fresh controversies could shift sentiment rapidly.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоНОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 июн. 2026 г.
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 июн. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West is formally refused entry into the another country between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “refused entry” refers to any formal action by the government of any country (excepting the United Kingdom) that bars Kanye West from lawfully entering it. Qualifying actions include refusing or cancelling a visa for West, issuing an exclusion decision or order against West, or otherwise formally determining that West may not enter a qualifying country.
Actions that do not affect West’s legal ability to enter a country including West voluntarily withdrawing from upcoming appearances, will not alone qualify.
A formal public announcement by a qualifying government, made within this market’s timeframe, that a qualifying action has been taken or will be taken will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of when that action takes effect or any legal challenge it may face.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of a qualifying country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on an 85.5% implied probability for "No" stems from the absence of confirmed entry denials to any additional countries since Ye's high-profile UK visa rejection on April 7, 2026, when the Home Office deemed his presence "not conducive to the public good" amid backlash over antisemitic remarks. That decision prompted Wireless Festival's cancellation and gig postponements in France and other European spots, but no formal bans followed, with no new inflammatory statements or legal actions reported in the past month. While his ongoing TOUR 2026 faces scrutiny, traders see limited momentum for further official blocks before June 30, though surprise tour announcements or fresh controversies could shift sentiment rapidly.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West is formally refused entry into the another country between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “refused entry” refers to any formal action by the government of any country (excepting the United Kingdom) that bars Kanye West from lawfully entering it. Qualifying actions include refusing or cancelling a visa for West, issuing an exclusion decision or order against West, or otherwise formally determining that West may not enter a qualifying country.
Actions that do not affect West’s legal ability to enter a country including West voluntarily withdrawing from upcoming appearances, will not alone qualify.
A formal public announcement by a qualifying government, made within this market’s timeframe, that a qualifying action has been taken or will be taken will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of when that action takes effect or any legal challenge it may face.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of a qualifying country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, “refused entry” refers to any formal action by the government of any country (excepting the United Kingdom) that bars Kanye West from lawfully entering it. Qualifying actions include refusing or cancelling a visa for West, issuing an exclusion decision or order against West, or otherwise formally determining that West may not enter a qualifying country.
Actions that do not affect West’s legal ability to enter a country including West voluntarily withdrawing from upcoming appearances, will not alone qualify.
A formal public announcement by a qualifying government, made within this market’s timeframe, that a qualifying action has been taken or will be taken will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of when that action takes effect or any legal challenge it may face.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of a qualifying country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Apr 7, 2026, 12:16 PM ET
Объем
$4,736Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 7, 2026, 12:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West is formally refused entry into the another country between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “refused entry” refers to any formal action by the government of any country (excepting the United Kingdom) that bars Kanye West from lawfully entering it. Qualifying actions include refusing or cancelling a visa for West, issuing an exclusion decision or order against West, or otherwise formally determining that West may not enter a qualifying country.
Actions that do not affect West’s legal ability to enter a country including West voluntarily withdrawing from upcoming appearances, will not alone qualify.
A formal public announcement by a qualifying government, made within this market’s timeframe, that a qualifying action has been taken or will be taken will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of when that action takes effect or any legal challenge it may face.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of a qualifying country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on an 85.5% implied probability for "No" stems from the absence of confirmed entry denials to any additional countries since Ye's high-profile UK visa rejection on April 7, 2026, when the Home Office deemed his presence "not conducive to the public good" amid backlash over antisemitic remarks. That decision prompted Wireless Festival's cancellation and gig postponements in France and other European spots, but no formal bans followed, with no new inflammatory statements or legal actions reported in the past month. While his ongoing TOUR 2026 faces scrutiny, traders see limited momentum for further official blocks before June 30, though surprise tour announcements or fresh controversies could shift sentiment rapidly.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West is formally refused entry into the another country between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “refused entry” refers to any formal action by the government of any country (excepting the United Kingdom) that bars Kanye West from lawfully entering it. Qualifying actions include refusing or cancelling a visa for West, issuing an exclusion decision or order against West, or otherwise formally determining that West may not enter a qualifying country.
Actions that do not affect West’s legal ability to enter a country including West voluntarily withdrawing from upcoming appearances, will not alone qualify.
A formal public announcement by a qualifying government, made within this market’s timeframe, that a qualifying action has been taken or will be taken will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of when that action takes effect or any legal challenge it may face.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of a qualifying country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, “refused entry” refers to any formal action by the government of any country (excepting the United Kingdom) that bars Kanye West from lawfully entering it. Qualifying actions include refusing or cancelling a visa for West, issuing an exclusion decision or order against West, or otherwise formally determining that West may not enter a qualifying country.
Actions that do not affect West’s legal ability to enter a country including West voluntarily withdrawing from upcoming appearances, will not alone qualify.
A formal public announcement by a qualifying government, made within this market’s timeframe, that a qualifying action has been taken or will be taken will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of when that action takes effect or any legal challenge it may face.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of a qualifying country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$4,736Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 7, 2026, 12:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on an 85.5% implied probability for "No" stems from the absence of confirmed entry denials to any additional countries since Ye's high-profile UK visa rejection on April 7, 2026, when the Home Office deemed his presence "not conducive to the public good" amid backlash over antisemitic remarks. That decision prompted Wireless Festival's cancellation and gig postponements in France and other European spots, but no formal bans followed, with no new inflammatory statements or legal actions reported in the past month. While his ongoing TOUR 2026 faces scrutiny, traders see limited momentum for further official blocks before June 30, though surprise tour announcements or fresh controversies could shift sentiment rapidly.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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