White House announcements in late March rescheduled President Trump's summit with Chinese President Xi Jinping for May 14-15 in Beijing, delayed from earlier due to the ongoing U.S. conflict with Iran, concentrating trader consensus on mid-May dates and elevating May 13 (35%) and May 14 (29.5%) as frontrunners amid speculation over arrival or preliminary diplomacy. No visit by May 31 at 25% reflects persistent risks from escalating Iran tensions, trade frictions, and historical postponements, keeping the race tight as crowdsourced odds capture uncertainty in bilateral scheduling. Exact itinerary confirmation or de-escalation signals in Iran could widen separation, while fresh war developments might boost cancellation probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWill Trump visit China on...?
Will Trump visit China on...?
May 13 36%
May 14 30%
No visit by May 31 25%
May 15 5.0%
$90,318 Wol.
$90,318 Wol.
May 31, 2026
On or prior to May 1
<1%
May 2
<1%
May 3
<1%
May 4
<1%
May 5
<1%
May 6
<1%
May 7
<1%
May 8
1%
May 9
1%
May 10
<1%
May 11
<1%
May 12
<1%
May 13
36%
May 14
30%
May 15
5%
May 16
<1%
May 17
<1%
May 18
1%
May 19
1%
May 20
1%
May 21
1%
May 22
1%
May 23
<1%
May 24
1%
May 25
<1%
May 26
1%
May 27
<1%
May 28
<1%
May 29
<1%
May 30
1%
May 31
<1%
No visit by May 31
25%
May 13 36%
May 14 30%
No visit by May 31 25%
May 15 5.0%
$90,318 Wol.
$90,318 Wol.
May 31, 2026
On or prior to May 1
$7,188 Wol.
<1%
May 2
$1,972 Wol.
<1%
May 3
$1,970 Wol.
<1%
May 4
$2,125 Wol.
<1%
May 5
$2,298 Wol.
<1%
May 6
$2,004 Wol.
<1%
May 7
$1,997 Wol.
<1%
May 8
$2,339 Wol.
1%
May 9
$1,915 Wol.
1%
May 10
$1,595 Wol.
<1%
May 11
$1,718 Wol.
<1%
May 12
$1,941 Wol.
<1%
May 13
$14,406 Wol.
36%
May 14
$4,897 Wol.
30%
May 15
$4,779 Wol.
5%
May 16
$2,702 Wol.
<1%
May 17
$1,857 Wol.
<1%
May 18
$1,869 Wol.
1%
May 19
$2,145 Wol.
1%
May 20
$2,469 Wol.
1%
May 21
$2,051 Wol.
1%
May 22
$1,909 Wol.
1%
May 23
$1,740 Wol.
<1%
May 24
$1,717 Wol.
1%
May 25
$1,728 Wol.
<1%
May 26
$1,854 Wol.
1%
May 27
$1,656 Wol.
<1%
May 28
$1,706 Wol.
<1%
May 29
$1,665 Wol.
<1%
May 30
$1,909 Wol.
1%
May 31
$1,831 Wol.
<1%
No visit by May 31
$6,366 Wol.
25%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which U.S. President Donald Trump next visits China.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.White House announcements in late March rescheduled President Trump's summit with Chinese President Xi Jinping for May 14-15 in Beijing, delayed from earlier due to the ongoing U.S. conflict with Iran, concentrating trader consensus on mid-May dates and elevating May 13 (35%) and May 14 (29.5%) as frontrunners amid speculation over arrival or preliminary diplomacy. No visit by May 31 at 25% reflects persistent risks from escalating Iran tensions, trade frictions, and historical postponements, keeping the race tight as crowdsourced odds capture uncertainty in bilateral scheduling. Exact itinerary confirmation or de-escalation signals in Iran could widen separation, while fresh war developments might boost cancellation probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which U.S. President Donald Trump next visits China.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 27, 2026, 3:29 PM ET
Wolumen
$90,318Data zakończenia
May 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 27, 2026, 3:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which U.S. President Donald Trump next visits China.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.White House announcements in late March rescheduled President Trump's summit with Chinese President Xi Jinping for May 14-15 in Beijing, delayed from earlier due to the ongoing U.S. conflict with Iran, concentrating trader consensus on mid-May dates and elevating May 13 (35%) and May 14 (29.5%) as frontrunners amid speculation over arrival or preliminary diplomacy. No visit by May 31 at 25% reflects persistent risks from escalating Iran tensions, trade frictions, and historical postponements, keeping the race tight as crowdsourced odds capture uncertainty in bilateral scheduling. Exact itinerary confirmation or de-escalation signals in Iran could widen separation, while fresh war developments might boost cancellation probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which U.S. President Donald Trump next visits China.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Wolumen
$90,318Data zakończenia
May 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 27, 2026, 3:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...White House announcements in late March rescheduled President Trump's summit with Chinese President Xi Jinping for May 14-15 in Beijing, delayed from earlier due to the ongoing U.S. conflict with Iran, concentrating trader consensus on mid-May dates and elevating May 13 (35%) and May 14 (29.5%) as frontrunners amid speculation over arrival or preliminary diplomacy. No visit by May 31 at 25% reflects persistent risks from escalating Iran tensions, trade frictions, and historical postponements, keeping the race tight as crowdsourced odds capture uncertainty in bilateral scheduling. Exact itinerary confirmation or de-escalation signals in Iran could widen separation, while fresh war developments might boost cancellation probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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