President Trump notified Congress on May 1 that U.S. military operations against Iran, launched February 28 under Operation Epic Fury to dismantle missile, nuclear, and naval threats, have been terminated, coinciding with a fragile ceasefire holding since early April. Troops remain deployed amid contingency plans for strikes on Iranian naval assets or Strait of Hormuz targets if violations occur, while the administration navigates War Powers Resolution challenges and congressional pushback. Traders assess the likelihood of a formal public announcement, potential ceasefire breakdowns from Iranian retaliation or proxy actions, and upcoming deadlines for congressional authorization, with historical precedents like short-term Gulf conflicts informing de-escalation risks.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoTrump zapowiada zakończenie działań zbrojnych przeciwko Iranowi do …?
Trump zapowiada zakończenie działań zbrojnych przeciwko Iranowi do …?
$44,722,907 Wol.
Mar 31, 2026
1 marca
Nie
2 marca
Nie
7 marca
Nie
15 marca
Nie
31 marca
Nie
7 kwietnia
Nie
15 kwietnia
Nie
21 kwietnia
Nie
April 24
No
30 kwietnia
Nie
31 maja
Tak
30 czerwca
Tak
$44,722,907 Wol.
1 marca
$62,834 Wol.
Nie
2 marca
$128,313 Wol.
Nie
7 marca
$0 Wol.
Nie
15 marca
$0 Wol.
Nie
31 marca
$5,173,902 Wol.
Nie
7 kwietnia
$3,147,132 Wol.
Nie
15 kwietnia
$9,488,906 Wol.
Nie
21 kwietnia
$4,913,838 Wol.
Nie
April 24
$924,036 Wol.
No
30 kwietnia
$13,050,669 Wol.
Nie
31 maja
$4,090,017 Wol.
Tak
30 czerwca
$3,743,260 Wol.
Tak
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump notified Congress on May 1 that U.S. military operations against Iran, launched February 28 under Operation Epic Fury to dismantle missile, nuclear, and naval threats, have been terminated, coinciding with a fragile ceasefire holding since early April. Troops remain deployed amid contingency plans for strikes on Iranian naval assets or Strait of Hormuz targets if violations occur, while the administration navigates War Powers Resolution challenges and congressional pushback. Traders assess the likelihood of a formal public announcement, potential ceasefire breakdowns from Iranian retaliation or proxy actions, and upcoming deadlines for congressional authorization, with historical precedents like short-term Gulf conflicts informing de-escalation risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Feb 28, 2026, 11:27 AM ET
Wolumen
$44,722,907Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Feb 28, 2026, 11:27 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Wynik zaproponowany: Nie
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: Nie
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump notified Congress on May 1 that U.S. military operations against Iran, launched February 28 under Operation Epic Fury to dismantle missile, nuclear, and naval threats, have been terminated, coinciding with a fragile ceasefire holding since early April. Troops remain deployed amid contingency plans for strikes on Iranian naval assets or Strait of Hormuz targets if violations occur, while the administration navigates War Powers Resolution challenges and congressional pushback. Traders assess the likelihood of a formal public announcement, potential ceasefire breakdowns from Iranian retaliation or proxy actions, and upcoming deadlines for congressional authorization, with historical precedents like short-term Gulf conflicts informing de-escalation risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$44,722,907Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Feb 28, 2026, 11:27 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Wynik zaproponowany: Nie
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: Nie
President Trump notified Congress on May 1 that U.S. military operations against Iran, launched February 28 under Operation Epic Fury to dismantle missile, nuclear, and naval threats, have been terminated, coinciding with a fragile ceasefire holding since early April. Troops remain deployed amid contingency plans for strikes on Iranian naval assets or Strait of Hormuz targets if violations occur, while the administration navigates War Powers Resolution challenges and congressional pushback. Traders assess the likelihood of a formal public announcement, potential ceasefire breakdowns from Iranian retaliation or proxy actions, and upcoming deadlines for congressional authorization, with historical precedents like short-term Gulf conflicts informing de-escalation risks.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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