Xi Jinping’s centralized authority over the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army has produced strong trader consensus that no coup attempt will occur before 2027. Ongoing military purges, including the January 2026 investigation into Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia for discipline violations, have been viewed as Xi preemptively neutralizing potential rivals rather than evidence of internal threats. Recent senior leadership meetings, National People’s Congress sessions, and bilateral diplomacy have reinforced signals of policy continuity and elite cohesion. While a sudden health event, major economic shock, or unexpected external conflict could theoretically create openings for factional challenges, the system’s opaque command structure and Xi’s record of removing disloyal officers make such developments highly improbable within the timeframe.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$127,865 Wol.
$127,865 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
$127,865 Wol.
$127,865 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s centralized authority over the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army has produced strong trader consensus that no coup attempt will occur before 2027. Ongoing military purges, including the January 2026 investigation into Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia for discipline violations, have been viewed as Xi preemptively neutralizing potential rivals rather than evidence of internal threats. Recent senior leadership meetings, National People’s Congress sessions, and bilateral diplomacy have reinforced signals of policy continuity and elite cohesion. While a sudden health event, major economic shock, or unexpected external conflict could theoretically create openings for factional challenges, the system’s opaque command structure and Xi’s record of removing disloyal officers make such developments highly improbable within the timeframe.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
Wolumen
$127,865Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s centralized authority over the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army has produced strong trader consensus that no coup attempt will occur before 2027. Ongoing military purges, including the January 2026 investigation into Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia for discipline violations, have been viewed as Xi preemptively neutralizing potential rivals rather than evidence of internal threats. Recent senior leadership meetings, National People’s Congress sessions, and bilateral diplomacy have reinforced signals of policy continuity and elite cohesion. While a sudden health event, major economic shock, or unexpected external conflict could theoretically create openings for factional challenges, the system’s opaque command structure and Xi’s record of removing disloyal officers make such developments highly improbable within the timeframe.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$127,865Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping’s centralized authority over the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army has produced strong trader consensus that no coup attempt will occur before 2027. Ongoing military purges, including the January 2026 investigation into Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia for discipline violations, have been viewed as Xi preemptively neutralizing potential rivals rather than evidence of internal threats. Recent senior leadership meetings, National People’s Congress sessions, and bilateral diplomacy have reinforced signals of policy continuity and elite cohesion. While a sudden health event, major economic shock, or unexpected external conflict could theoretically create openings for factional challenges, the system’s opaque command structure and Xi’s record of removing disloyal officers make such developments highly improbable within the timeframe.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania