Xi Jinping’s ongoing consolidation of authority through extensive military purges, including the September 2026 expulsion of Central Military Commission vice chairman Zhang Youxia and other senior officers on grounds of corruption and political disloyalty, underpins trader expectations that no coup attempt will occur before 2027. These actions, combined with directives emphasizing internal security and risk prevention ahead of the 2027 party congress, reflect strengthened central control rather than vulnerability. The Chinese Communist Party’s institutional mechanisms for leadership selection and discipline have historically contained elite challenges, with recent developments showing continuity in Xi’s dominance over the People’s Liberation Army and party apparatus. While low-probability triggers such as acute health events or sudden economic shocks could theoretically create openings, the compressed timeline and absence of organized opposition sustain the current trader consensus on stability.