Will a nuclear weapon detonate by...?
$698,172 Vol.
Jun 30, 2023

June 30, 2023
$427,620 Vol.
No

June 30, 2023
$427,620 Vol.
No

December 31
$179,951 Vol.
No

December 31
$179,951 Vol.
No

June 30
$90,601 Vol.
No

June 30
$90,601 Vol.
No
Regels
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a nuclear weapon detonates anywhere in the world between January 30, 2023, and June 30, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market's resolution, any detonation of a nuclear weapon anywhere on the planet Earth will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution. This includes offensive usages, nuclear tests, and accidental detonations. Use/launch of a nuclear weapon that fails to detonate, a fake weapon that never detonates, or a dirty bomb that distributes radioactive material by means of a conventional explosion are not sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution of this market. Only a successful nuclear detonation will result in a "Yes" resolution.
This market may resolve to "Yes" as soon as a nuclear detonation is confirmed by a preponderance of credible reporting.
For the purpose of this market's resolution, determination as to whether a detonation was nuclear will be made by a preponderance of credible reporting.
For the purpose of this market's resolution, any detonation of a nuclear weapon anywhere on the planet Earth will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution. This includes offensive usages, nuclear tests, and accidental detonations. Use/launch of a nuclear weapon that fails to detonate, a fake weapon that never detonates, or a dirty bomb that distributes radioactive material by means of a conventional explosion are not sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution of this market. Only a successful nuclear detonation will result in a "Yes" resolution.
This market may resolve to "Yes" as soon as a nuclear detonation is confirmed by a preponderance of credible reporting.
For the purpose of this market's resolution, determination as to whether a detonation was nuclear will be made by a preponderance of credible reporting.
Gemaakt op: Feb 16, 2023, 7:00 PM ET
Volume
$698,172Einddatum
Jun 30, 2024Gemaakt op
Feb 16, 2023, 7:00 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...Resultaat voorgesteld: No
Geen bezwaar
Definitief resultaat: No
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by...?
$698,172 Vol.

June 30, 2023
$427,620 Vol.
No

December 31
$179,951 Vol.
No

June 30
$90,601 Vol.
No
Over
Volume
$698,172Einddatum
Jun 30, 2024Gemaakt op
Feb 16, 2023, 7:00 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...Pas op voor externe links.
Pas op voor externe links.

Pas op voor externe links.
Pas op voor externe links.