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Will a nuclear weapon detonate by...?

$698,172 Vol.

Jun 30, 2023

Regels

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a nuclear weapon detonates anywhere in the world between January 30, 2023, and June 30, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market's resolution, any detonation of a nuclear weapon anywhere on the planet Earth will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution. This includes offensive usages, nuclear tests, and accidental detonations. Use/launch of a nuclear weapon that fails to detonate, a fake weapon that never detonates, or a dirty bomb that distributes radioactive material by means of a conventional explosion are not sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution of this market. Only a successful nuclear detonation will result in a "Yes" resolution.

This market may resolve to "Yes" as soon as a nuclear detonation is confirmed by a preponderance of credible reporting.

For the purpose of this market's resolution, determination as to whether a detonation was nuclear will be made by a preponderance of credible reporting.
Volume
$698,172
Einddatum
Jun 30, 2024
Gemaakt op
Feb 16, 2023, 7:00 PM ET

Resultaat voorgesteld: No

Geen bezwaar

Definitief resultaat: No

Pas op voor externe links.

Market icon

Will a nuclear weapon detonate by...?

$698,172 Vol.

Market icon

June 30, 2023

$427,620 Vol.

No

Market icon

December 31

$179,951 Vol.

No

Market icon

June 30

$90,601 Vol.

No

Over

Volume
$698,172
Einddatum
Jun 30, 2024
Gemaakt op
Feb 16, 2023, 7:00 PM ET

Pas op voor externe links.