KaBuM! IDL's flawless 9-0 group stage run, capped by a 1-0 win over Estral Esports on April 21 and Keyd Stars Academy on April 22, positions them as the top seed entering playoffs on May 4, yet trader consensus reflects playoff volatility in the double-elimination bracket with Bo3/Bo5 Fearless Draft matches. Estral Esports, tied for second at 6-3 despite losses to KaBuM! IDL and RED Academy, holds near-even implied probability through consistent macro play and roster depth, including strong performers like scamber. INTZ's 5-4 finish, bolstered by recent 1-0 wins over Ei Nerd Esports and Team Solid, adds upset potential as the fifth seed, while RED Academy's tiebreaker edge for direct Round 2 entry lags behind due to inconsistent late results. Play-In matches begin April 27, heightening uncertainty for lower seeds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCircuito Desafiante 2026 Split 1 Winner
Circuito Desafiante 2026 Split 1 Winner
KaBuM! IDL 37.1%
Estral Esports 35.6%
INTZ 28%
RED Academy 14.0%

KaBuM! IDL
37%

Estral Esports
36%

INTZ
28%

RED Academy
10%

RMD Gaming
2%

7REX
2%

Ei Nerd Esports
2%

Keyd Stars Academy
<1%

Team Solid
<1%

paiN Gaming Academy
44%
KaBuM! IDL 37.1%
Estral Esports 35.6%
INTZ 28%
RED Academy 14.0%

KaBuM! IDL
37%

Estral Esports
36%

INTZ
28%

RED Academy
10%

RMD Gaming
2%

7REX
2%

Ei Nerd Esports
2%

Keyd Stars Academy
<1%

Team Solid
<1%

paiN Gaming Academy
44%
If the 2026 Split 1 is postponed after June 14, 2026 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared in this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Riot Games (https://lolesports.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 6, 2026, 11:50 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the 2026 Split 1 is postponed after June 14, 2026 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared in this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Riot Games (https://lolesports.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...KaBuM! IDL's flawless 9-0 group stage run, capped by a 1-0 win over Estral Esports on April 21 and Keyd Stars Academy on April 22, positions them as the top seed entering playoffs on May 4, yet trader consensus reflects playoff volatility in the double-elimination bracket with Bo3/Bo5 Fearless Draft matches. Estral Esports, tied for second at 6-3 despite losses to KaBuM! IDL and RED Academy, holds near-even implied probability through consistent macro play and roster depth, including strong performers like scamber. INTZ's 5-4 finish, bolstered by recent 1-0 wins over Ei Nerd Esports and Team Solid, adds upset potential as the fifth seed, while RED Academy's tiebreaker edge for direct Round 2 entry lags behind due to inconsistent late results. Play-In matches begin April 27, heightening uncertainty for lower seeds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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