KaBuM! IDL's flawless 9-0 group stage run in Circuito Desafiante 2026 Split 1 has positioned them as top seed with a direct path to playoffs Round 2, earning trader consensus at 37.2% implied probability for the title, but Estral Esports lurks close at 35.9% after a resilient 6-3 record marked by key wins over 7REX and RMD Gaming. Both teams, alongside tied contenders RED Academy and 7REX, advance to the double-elimination playoffs featuring Bo3 quarterfinals/semifinals and Bo5 beyond, where Fearless Draft rules amplify upset potential. INTZ's gritty 5-4 finish, including late victories over Team Solid and Ei Nerd Esports, fuels their 14.5% share despite lower seeding, underscoring the bracket's volatility ahead of Play-In on April 27.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCircuito Desafiante 2026 Split 1 Winner
Circuito Desafiante 2026 Split 1 Winner
KaBuM! IDL 37.1%
Estral Esports 35.9%
RED Academy 10.0%
INTZ 7%

KaBuM! IDL
37%

Estral Esports
36%

RED Academy
10%

INTZ
12%

paiN Gaming Academy
5%

RMD Gaming
2%

7REX
2%

Keyd Stars Academy
2%

Ei Nerd Esports
1%

Team Solid
<1%
KaBuM! IDL 37.1%
Estral Esports 35.9%
RED Academy 10.0%
INTZ 7%

KaBuM! IDL
37%

Estral Esports
36%

RED Academy
10%

INTZ
12%

paiN Gaming Academy
5%

RMD Gaming
2%

7REX
2%

Keyd Stars Academy
2%

Ei Nerd Esports
1%

Team Solid
<1%
If the 2026 Split 1 is postponed after June 14, 2026 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared in this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Riot Games (https://lolesports.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 6, 2026, 11:50 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the 2026 Split 1 is postponed after June 14, 2026 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared in this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Riot Games (https://lolesports.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...KaBuM! IDL's flawless 9-0 group stage run in Circuito Desafiante 2026 Split 1 has positioned them as top seed with a direct path to playoffs Round 2, earning trader consensus at 37.2% implied probability for the title, but Estral Esports lurks close at 35.9% after a resilient 6-3 record marked by key wins over 7REX and RMD Gaming. Both teams, alongside tied contenders RED Academy and 7REX, advance to the double-elimination playoffs featuring Bo3 quarterfinals/semifinals and Bo5 beyond, where Fearless Draft rules amplify upset potential. INTZ's gritty 5-4 finish, including late victories over Team Solid and Ei Nerd Esports, fuels their 14.5% share despite lower seeding, underscoring the bracket's volatility ahead of Play-In on April 27.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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