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Eurovision Winner 2026

Market icon

Eurovision Winner 2026

Finland 34.9%

France 13.1%

Denmark 11.1%

Australia 7.8%

Polymarket

$49,442,341 Vol.

Finland 34.9%

France 13.1%

Denmark 11.1%

Australia 7.8%

Polymarket

$49,442,341 Vol.

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Finland

$1,823,127 Vol.

35%

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France

$1,370,837 Vol.

13%

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Denmark

$872,649 Vol.

11%

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Australia

$1,149,369 Vol.

8%

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Greece

$1,274,808 Vol.

7%

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Israel

$1,199,756 Vol.

4%

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Sweden

$921,416 Vol.

4%

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Italy

$1,486,795 Vol.

2%

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Ukraine

$1,086,799 Vol.

2%

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Romania

$871,349 Vol.

2%

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Cyprus

$1,075,839 Vol.

1%

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Malta

$938,448 Vol.

1%

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Czechia

$757,329 Vol.

1%

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Bulgaria

$1,098,622 Vol.

1%

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Switzerland

$2,206,363 Vol.

1%

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Moldova

$1,064,490 Vol.

1%

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Germany

$873,879 Vol.

1%

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Luxembourg

$1,017,574 Vol.

1%

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United Kingdom

$672,912 Vol.

1%

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Belgium

$1,230,217 Vol.

1%

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Croatia

$932,497 Vol.

1%

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Norway

$1,245,968 Vol.

1%

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Albania

$1,865,479 Vol.

<1%

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Armenia

$1,949,662 Vol.

<1%

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Azerbaijan

$2,322,125 Vol.

<1%

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Georgia

$1,994,801 Vol.

<1%

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Lithuania

$1,451,254 Vol.

<1%

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Poland

$1,829,244 Vol.

<1%

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Serbia

$760,816 Vol.

<1%

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Austria

$1,714,045 Vol.

<1%

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Estonia

$2,211,267 Vol.

<1%

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Latvia

$1,949,117 Vol.

<1%

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Portugal

$1,870,814 Vol.

<1%

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San Marino

$2,033,984 Vol.

<1%

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Montenegro

$2,321,330 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen lead as the clear frontrunner at 34.9% implied probability on Polymarket following their dominant win at UMK 2026 with the high-energy "Liekinheitin," which swept jury votes and showed massive televote potential in Finland's national final. This early momentum, bolstered by top OGAE fan votes like France's 12 points, has propelled trader consensus amid a wide-open field, as only a handful of nations—including Denmark and France with their strong entries—have confirmed acts. Greece and Australia trail with buzzworthy selections, but ongoing national finals across Europe keep uncertainty high ahead of Vienna semis on May 12 and 14, and the final on May 16, where jury-televote splits could spark upsets.

Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen lead as the clear frontrunner at 34.9% implied probability on Polymarket following their dominant win at UMK 2026 with the high-energy "Liekinheitin," which swept jury votes and showed massive televote potential in Finland's national final. This early momentum, bolstered by top OGAE fan votes like France's 12 points, has propelled trader consensus amid a wide-open field, as only a handful of nations—including Denmark and France with their strong entries—have confirmed acts. Greece and Australia trail with buzzworthy selections, but ongoing national finals across Europe keep uncertainty high ahead of Vienna semis on May 12 and 14, and the final on May 16, where jury-televote splits could spark upsets.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen lead as the clear frontrunner at 34.9% implied probability on Polymarket following their dominant win at UMK 2026 with the high-energy "Liekinheitin," which swept jury votes and showed massive televote potential in Finland's national final. This early momentum, bolstered by top OGAE fan votes like France's 12 points, has propelled trader consensus amid a wide-open field, as only a handful of nations—including Denmark and France with their strong entries—have confirmed acts. Greece and Australia trail with buzzworthy selections, but ongoing national finals across Europe keep uncertainty high ahead of Vienna semis on May 12 and 14, and the final on May 16, where jury-televote splits could spark upsets.

Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen lead as the clear frontrunner at 34.9% implied probability on Polymarket following their dominant win at UMK 2026 with the high-energy "Liekinheitin," which swept jury votes and showed massive televote potential in Finland's national final. This early momentum, bolstered by top OGAE fan votes like France's 12 points, has propelled trader consensus amid a wide-open field, as only a handful of nations—including Denmark and France with their strong entries—have confirmed acts. Greece and Australia trail with buzzworthy selections, but ongoing national finals across Europe keep uncertainty high ahead of Vienna semis on May 12 and 14, and the final on May 16, where jury-televote splits could spark upsets.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurovision Winner 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Finland" at 35%, followed by "France" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 35¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eurovision Winner 2026" has generated $49.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eurovision Winner 2026," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurovision Winner 2026" is "Finland" at 35%, meaning the market assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "France" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurovision Winner 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.