Morocco leads the AFCON 2027 winner market at 19% implied probability as defending champions with a deep squad featuring players at peak form, while Ivory Coast, Egypt, Senegal, Algeria, and Cameroon cluster between 10% and 15% amid a wide-open field. The co-hosts Kenya, Tanzania, and Uganda have secured automatic qualification, but stronger sides face challenging qualifying groups that began in September 2026 with top-two advancement from most sections. Recent developments include Morocco’s controversial 2025 title retention after a Senegal appeal and ongoing roster evolution across contenders, with no team holding decisive historical edges in East Africa venues. This distribution reflects trader consensus on balanced talent pools, variable qualifying outcomes, and the extended timeline to the June-July 2027 finals allowing for form shifts and injuries.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMorocco 19%
Ivory Coast 14.7%
Egypt 11.7%
Senegal 11.7%
Morocco
19%
Ivory Coast
15%
Egypt
12%
Senegal
12%
Algeria
11%
Cameroon
10%
Nigeria
8%
DR Congo
8%
South Africa
8%
Ghana
8%
Tunisia
5%
Zambia
4%
Angola
3%
Burkina Faso
3%
Cape Verde
3%
Gabon
3%
Mali
2%
Tanzania
2%
Benin
1%
Guinea
1%
Equatorial Guinea
1%
Mozambique
1%
Kenya
1%
Uganda
<1%
Morocco 19%
Ivory Coast 14.7%
Egypt 11.7%
Senegal 11.7%
Morocco
19%
Ivory Coast
15%
Egypt
12%
Senegal
12%
Algeria
11%
Cameroon
10%
Nigeria
8%
DR Congo
8%
South Africa
8%
Ghana
8%
Tunisia
5%
Zambia
4%
Angola
3%
Burkina Faso
3%
Cape Verde
3%
Gabon
3%
Mali
2%
Tanzania
2%
Benin
1%
Guinea
1%
Equatorial Guinea
1%
Mozambique
1%
Kenya
1%
Uganda
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 Africa Cup of Nations per the rules of CAF (e.g., they are eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If the 2027 Africa Cup of Nations is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from CAF; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Sep 9, 2026, 11:41 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 Africa Cup of Nations per the rules of CAF (e.g., they are eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If the 2027 Africa Cup of Nations is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from CAF; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Morocco leads the AFCON 2027 winner market at 19% implied probability as defending champions with a deep squad featuring players at peak form, while Ivory Coast, Egypt, Senegal, Algeria, and Cameroon cluster between 10% and 15% amid a wide-open field. The co-hosts Kenya, Tanzania, and Uganda have secured automatic qualification, but stronger sides face challenging qualifying groups that began in September 2026 with top-two advancement from most sections. Recent developments include Morocco’s controversial 2025 title retention after a Senegal appeal and ongoing roster evolution across contenders, with no team holding decisive historical edges in East Africa venues. This distribution reflects trader consensus on balanced talent pools, variable qualifying outcomes, and the extended timeline to the June-July 2027 finals allowing for form shifts and injuries.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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Frequently Asked Questions