Mali leads Group K in the 2027 AFCON qualifiers with a 64% implied probability, reflecting traders' view of the Eagles' superior squad depth, recent AFCON quarterfinal experience, and higher FIFA ranking compared to rivals. Both Mali and Rwanda sit atop the standings with six points and identical +3 goal differences after Matchdays 1 and 2, following Mali's wins over Cape Verde and Liberia alongside Rwanda's victories in the same fixtures. The November 2026 home-and-away clash between the two sides will likely decide the group leader, while Cape Verde and Liberia trail at zero points and face steep recovery paths in the remaining March 2027 windows. Rwanda's 18.9% price captures momentum from their unbeaten start, though historical gaps limit their edge.