Cardi B and Kehlani’s “Safe” leads the 2026 VMA Best Hip-Hop market at 60.5% implied probability, buoyed by its September 2025 release from the album *Am I the Drama?*, accompanying music video, and sustained Hot 100 visibility that outpaced the field. Nominees were announced in mid-August, pitting the track against Don Toliver’s “E85,” Megan Thee Stallion’s “Lover Girl,” Drake’s “Janice STFU,” Travis Scott’s “Dumbo,” and Tyler, the Creator’s “Sugar on My Tongue” in a category with heavy Houston representation. Fan voting closes September 25 ahead of the September 27 ceremony hosted by Snoop Dogg, where Cardi’s established awards track record and the song’s crossover R&B-hip-hop appeal give it clear momentum over the single-digit contenders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedVMA Best Hip-Hop 2026
VMA Best Hip-Hop 2026
Safe (Cardi B featuring Kehlani) 61%
E85 (Don Toliver) 9.8%
Janice STFU (Drake) 9%
Lover Girl (Megan Thee Stallion) 9%
NEW
NEW
Sep 27, 2026
Safe (Cardi B featuring Kehlani)
61%
E85 (Don Toliver)
10%
Janice STFU (Drake)
9%
Lover Girl (Megan Thee Stallion)
9%
Dumbo (Travis Scott)
4%
Sugar on My Tongue (Tyler, The Creator)
3%
Safe (Cardi B featuring Kehlani) 61%
E85 (Don Toliver) 9.8%
Janice STFU (Drake) 9%
Lover Girl (Megan Thee Stallion) 9%
NEW
NEW
Sep 27, 2026
Safe (Cardi B featuring Kehlani)
$3,477 Vol.
61%
E85 (Don Toliver)
$275 Vol.
10%
Janice STFU (Drake)
$35 Vol.
9%
Lover Girl (Megan Thee Stallion)
$0 Vol.
9%
Dumbo (Travis Scott)
$20 Vol.
4%
Sugar on My Tongue (Tyler, The Creator)
$431 Vol.
3%
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Hip-Hop.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Hip-Hop when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Cardi B and Kehlani’s “Safe” leads the 2026 VMA Best Hip-Hop market at 60.5% implied probability, buoyed by its September 2025 release from the album *Am I the Drama?*, accompanying music video, and sustained Hot 100 visibility that outpaced the field. Nominees were announced in mid-August, pitting the track against Don Toliver’s “E85,” Megan Thee Stallion’s “Lover Girl,” Drake’s “Janice STFU,” Travis Scott’s “Dumbo,” and Tyler, the Creator’s “Sugar on My Tongue” in a category with heavy Houston representation. Fan voting closes September 25 ahead of the September 27 ceremony hosted by Snoop Dogg, where Cardi’s established awards track record and the song’s crossover R&B-hip-hop appeal give it clear momentum over the single-digit contenders.
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Hip-Hop.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Hip-Hop when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Hip-Hop.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Hip-Hop when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Sep 18, 2026, 5:56 PM ET
Volume
$4,238End Date
Sep 28, 2026Market Opened
Sep 18, 2026, 5:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47de9d...The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Hip-Hop.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Hip-Hop when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Cardi B and Kehlani’s “Safe” leads the 2026 VMA Best Hip-Hop market at 60.5% implied probability, buoyed by its September 2025 release from the album *Am I the Drama?*, accompanying music video, and sustained Hot 100 visibility that outpaced the field. Nominees were announced in mid-August, pitting the track against Don Toliver’s “E85,” Megan Thee Stallion’s “Lover Girl,” Drake’s “Janice STFU,” Travis Scott’s “Dumbo,” and Tyler, the Creator’s “Sugar on My Tongue” in a category with heavy Houston representation. Fan voting closes September 25 ahead of the September 27 ceremony hosted by Snoop Dogg, where Cardi’s established awards track record and the song’s crossover R&B-hip-hop appeal give it clear momentum over the single-digit contenders.
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Hip-Hop.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Hip-Hop when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Hip-Hop.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Hip-Hop when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4,238End Date
Sep 28, 2026Market Opened
Sep 18, 2026, 5:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47de9d...Cardi B and Kehlani’s “Safe” leads the 2026 VMA Best Hip-Hop market at 60.5% implied probability, buoyed by its September 2025 release from the album *Am I the Drama?*, accompanying music video, and sustained Hot 100 visibility that outpaced the field. Nominees were announced in mid-August, pitting the track against Don Toliver’s “E85,” Megan Thee Stallion’s “Lover Girl,” Drake’s “Janice STFU,” Travis Scott’s “Dumbo,” and Tyler, the Creator’s “Sugar on My Tongue” in a category with heavy Houston representation. Fan voting closes September 25 ahead of the September 27 ceremony hosted by Snoop Dogg, where Cardi’s established awards track record and the song’s crossover R&B-hip-hop appeal give it clear momentum over the single-digit contenders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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