Early-season hot starts by several quarterbacks have shaped trader views on 30+ passing touchdown markets for the 2026-27 NFL regular season. Kirk Cousins and Brock Purdy lead with nine touchdowns each through three games, while Jared Goff, Tyler Shough, and others sit at eight, placing multiple passers on pace for the benchmark. Established options such as Patrick Mahomes, Joe Burrow, Dak Prescott, and Justin Herbert benefit from proven weapons, offensive line stability, and favorable schedules that historically support high-volume passing. Injury developments, including Baker Mayfield’s thumb issue, and shifting game scripts tied to team records or defensive matchups could alter trajectories. With 14 games remaining for most clubs, sustained red-zone efficiency and volume remain the primary variables influencing implied probabilities.