MrBeast’s latest release has demonstrated the rapid early traction typical of his high-production content, with day-one momentum positioning the video to land squarely in the 41–43 million views range on day two. Traders have converged on this outcome at 100% implied probability, reflecting the creator’s proven ability to sustain viewer interest through algorithmic boosts, cross-platform promotion, and loyal subscriber engagement. Historical patterns for similar MrBeast drops show consistent multi-day view growth in this bracket, with few external factors—such as competing releases or platform changes—currently disrupting the trajectory. An upset into lower brackets would require an abrupt slowdown in hourly views or a major algorithmic deprioritization, scenarios that remain unlikely given the current pace.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated# of views of MrBeast video day 2?
41–43M 100.0%
<35M <1%
35–37M <1%
37–39M <1%
$198,028 Vol.
$198,028 Vol.
<35M
No
35–37M
No
37–39M
No
39–41M
No
41–43M
Yes
43M+
No
41–43M 100.0%
<35M <1%
35–37M <1%
37–39M <1%
$198,028 Vol.
$198,028 Vol.
<35M
No
35–37M
No
37–39M
No
39–41M
No
41–43M
Yes
43M+
No
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "I Survived 7 Days in the Arctic", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GpQSUjNsNm0. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Market Opened: May 31, 2026, 8:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "I Survived 7 Days in the Arctic", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GpQSUjNsNm0. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
MrBeast’s latest release has demonstrated the rapid early traction typical of his high-production content, with day-one momentum positioning the video to land squarely in the 41–43 million views range on day two. Traders have converged on this outcome at 100% implied probability, reflecting the creator’s proven ability to sustain viewer interest through algorithmic boosts, cross-platform promotion, and loyal subscriber engagement. Historical patterns for similar MrBeast drops show consistent multi-day view growth in this bracket, with few external factors—such as competing releases or platform changes—currently disrupting the trajectory. An upset into lower brackets would require an abrupt slowdown in hourly views or a major algorithmic deprioritization, scenarios that remain unlikely given the current pace.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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