Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 57%, reflecting Statistics Canada's March 2026 confirmation of Canada's first-ever annual population decline in 2025—over 100,000 people or 0.2%—driven by sharp reductions in non-permanent residents like international students and temporary workers amid federal immigration caps. The 2026-2028 Immigration Levels Plan stabilizes permanent resident targets at 380,000 annually and new temporary arrivals at 385,000, with Parliamentary Budget Officer projections indicating zero population growth for 2026 rather than acceleration in outflows. This policy recalibration to address housing pressures and public sentiment suggests any 2026 decline, if it occurs, would likely fall short of 2025's record, though quarterly estimates through year-end could shift odds.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2027.04.30
신규
신규
2027.04.30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the decrease in the population of Canada from the 4th quarter of 2025 and the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than that of any year on record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on the most recent data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 57%, reflecting Statistics Canada's March 2026 confirmation of Canada's first-ever annual population decline in 2025—over 100,000 people or 0.2%—driven by sharp reductions in non-permanent residents like international students and temporary workers amid federal immigration caps. The 2026-2028 Immigration Levels Plan stabilizes permanent resident targets at 380,000 annually and new temporary arrivals at 385,000, with Parliamentary Budget Officer projections indicating zero population growth for 2026 rather than acceleration in outflows. This policy recalibration to address housing pressures and public sentiment suggests any 2026 decline, if it occurs, would likely fall short of 2025's record, though quarterly estimates through year-end could shift odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the decrease in the population of Canada from the 4th quarter of 2025 and the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than that of any year on record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on the most recent data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on the most recent data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Jan 29, 2026, 3:45 PM ET
거래량
$1,509종료일
2027.04.30마켓 개설일
Jan 29, 2026, 3:45 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the decrease in the population of Canada from the 4th quarter of 2025 and the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than that of any year on record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on the most recent data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 57%, reflecting Statistics Canada's March 2026 confirmation of Canada's first-ever annual population decline in 2025—over 100,000 people or 0.2%—driven by sharp reductions in non-permanent residents like international students and temporary workers amid federal immigration caps. The 2026-2028 Immigration Levels Plan stabilizes permanent resident targets at 380,000 annually and new temporary arrivals at 385,000, with Parliamentary Budget Officer projections indicating zero population growth for 2026 rather than acceleration in outflows. This policy recalibration to address housing pressures and public sentiment suggests any 2026 decline, if it occurs, would likely fall short of 2025's record, though quarterly estimates through year-end could shift odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the decrease in the population of Canada from the 4th quarter of 2025 and the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than that of any year on record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on the most recent data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on the most recent data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$1,509종료일
2027.04.30마켓 개설일
Jan 29, 2026, 3:45 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 57%, reflecting Statistics Canada's March 2026 confirmation of Canada's first-ever annual population decline in 2025—over 100,000 people or 0.2%—driven by sharp reductions in non-permanent residents like international students and temporary workers amid federal immigration caps. The 2026-2028 Immigration Levels Plan stabilizes permanent resident targets at 380,000 annually and new temporary arrivals at 385,000, with Parliamentary Budget Officer projections indicating zero population growth for 2026 rather than acceleration in outflows. This policy recalibration to address housing pressures and public sentiment suggests any 2026 decline, if it occurs, would likely fall short of 2025's record, though quarterly estimates through year-end could shift odds.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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