Tight U.S. cattle supplies, with the national herd at an 86.2 million head multi-decade low as of January 2026 and still contracting, form the core driver of elevated ground beef prices. USDA forecasts show 2026 beef production declining further, with wholesale prices projected to rise 6.9% and farm-level cattle prices up 6.1% year-over-year, building on 2025 gains amid drought pressures affecting over 70% of the beef cow herd. Robust consumer demand for protein despite higher retail levels near $6.70 per pound for ground beef supports the price floor, while lean trim imports help balance ground beef markets. Key upcoming factors include summer demand peaks, potential further herd liquidation, and any shifts in feed costs or export volumes that could influence the supply pipeline into 2027.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$19,725 거래량
2026.12.31
$7.000+
76%
$8.000+
62%
$9.000+
42%
$10.000+
17%
$19,725 거래량
$7.000+
$50 거래량
76%
$8.000+
$1,573 거래량
62%
$9.000+
$62 거래량
42%
$10.000+
$18,041 거래량
17%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Tight U.S. cattle supplies, with the national herd at an 86.2 million head multi-decade low as of January 2026 and still contracting, form the core driver of elevated ground beef prices. USDA forecasts show 2026 beef production declining further, with wholesale prices projected to rise 6.9% and farm-level cattle prices up 6.1% year-over-year, building on 2025 gains amid drought pressures affecting over 70% of the beef cow herd. Robust consumer demand for protein despite higher retail levels near $6.70 per pound for ground beef supports the price floor, while lean trim imports help balance ground beef markets. Key upcoming factors include summer demand peaks, potential further herd liquidation, and any shifts in feed costs or export volumes that could influence the supply pipeline into 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
마켓 개설일: Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
거래량
$19,725종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Tight U.S. cattle supplies, with the national herd at an 86.2 million head multi-decade low as of January 2026 and still contracting, form the core driver of elevated ground beef prices. USDA forecasts show 2026 beef production declining further, with wholesale prices projected to rise 6.9% and farm-level cattle prices up 6.1% year-over-year, building on 2025 gains amid drought pressures affecting over 70% of the beef cow herd. Robust consumer demand for protein despite higher retail levels near $6.70 per pound for ground beef supports the price floor, while lean trim imports help balance ground beef markets. Key upcoming factors include summer demand peaks, potential further herd liquidation, and any shifts in feed costs or export volumes that could influence the supply pipeline into 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
거래량
$19,725종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Tight U.S. cattle supplies, with the national herd at an 86.2 million head multi-decade low as of January 2026 and still contracting, form the core driver of elevated ground beef prices. USDA forecasts show 2026 beef production declining further, with wholesale prices projected to rise 6.9% and farm-level cattle prices up 6.1% year-over-year, building on 2025 gains amid drought pressures affecting over 70% of the beef cow herd. Robust consumer demand for protein despite higher retail levels near $6.70 per pound for ground beef supports the price floor, while lean trim imports help balance ground beef markets. Key upcoming factors include summer demand peaks, potential further herd liquidation, and any shifts in feed costs or export volumes that could influence the supply pipeline into 2027.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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