The Bureau of Labor Statistics released April 2026 Consumer Price Index data on May 12, confirming year-over-year inflation at 3.8%, up from 3.3% in March and the highest since May 2023, driven primarily by surging energy prices and persistent shelter costs. This official figure has locked in Polymarket's trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 3.8% outcome, reflecting aggregated capital bets aligned with the definitive BLS print amid $425K in volume. Core CPI rose 2.8% annually, easing slightly to 2.9% prior. Rare post-release revisions could theoretically challenge this positioning, though historical base rates show minimal adjustments; traders now eye May CPI on June 10 for Federal Reserve policy signals.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트3.8% 100.0%
3.1% 이하 <1%
3.2% <1%
3.3% <1%
$478,175 거래량
$478,175 거래량
2026.05.12
3.1% 이하
아니오
3.2%
아니오
3.3%
아니오
3.4%
아니오
3.5%
아니오
3.6%
아니오
3.7%
아니오
3.8%
예
3.9%
아니오
4.0%
아니오
4.1% 이상
아니오
3.8% 100.0%
3.1% 이하 <1%
3.2% <1%
3.3% <1%
$478,175 거래량
$478,175 거래량
2026.05.12
3.1% 이하
$43,621 거래량
아니오
3.2%
$17,835 거래량
아니오
3.3%
$29,048 거래량
아니오
3.4%
$22,577 거래량
아니오
3.5%
$40,575 거래량
아니오
3.6%
$49,624 거래량
아니오
3.7%
$63,748 거래량
아니오
3.8%
$82,956 거래량
예
3.9%
$63,119 거래량
아니오
4.0%
$30,990 거래량
아니오
4.1% 이상
$34,083 거래량
아니오
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending April 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in April 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on May 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.The Bureau of Labor Statistics released April 2026 Consumer Price Index data on May 12, confirming year-over-year inflation at 3.8%, up from 3.3% in March and the highest since May 2023, driven primarily by surging energy prices and persistent shelter costs. This official figure has locked in Polymarket's trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 3.8% outcome, reflecting aggregated capital bets aligned with the definitive BLS print amid $425K in volume. Core CPI rose 2.8% annually, easing slightly to 2.9% prior. Rare post-release revisions could theoretically challenge this positioning, though historical base rates show minimal adjustments; traders now eye May CPI on June 10 for Federal Reserve policy signals.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending April 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in April 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on May 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in April 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on May 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
마켓 개설일: Apr 10, 2026, 4:52 PM ET
거래량
$478,175종료일
2026.05.12마켓 개설일
Apr 10, 2026, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...결과 제안됨: 아니오
이의 없음
최종 결과: 아니오
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending April 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in April 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on May 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.The Bureau of Labor Statistics released April 2026 Consumer Price Index data on May 12, confirming year-over-year inflation at 3.8%, up from 3.3% in March and the highest since May 2023, driven primarily by surging energy prices and persistent shelter costs. This official figure has locked in Polymarket's trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 3.8% outcome, reflecting aggregated capital bets aligned with the definitive BLS print amid $425K in volume. Core CPI rose 2.8% annually, easing slightly to 2.9% prior. Rare post-release revisions could theoretically challenge this positioning, though historical base rates show minimal adjustments; traders now eye May CPI on June 10 for Federal Reserve policy signals.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending April 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in April 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on May 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in April 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on May 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
거래량
$478,175종료일
2026.05.12마켓 개설일
Apr 10, 2026, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...결과 제안됨: 아니오
이의 없음
최종 결과: 아니오
The Bureau of Labor Statistics released April 2026 Consumer Price Index data on May 12, confirming year-over-year inflation at 3.8%, up from 3.3% in March and the highest since May 2023, driven primarily by surging energy prices and persistent shelter costs. This official figure has locked in Polymarket's trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 3.8% outcome, reflecting aggregated capital bets aligned with the definitive BLS print amid $425K in volume. Core CPI rose 2.8% annually, easing slightly to 2.9% prior. Rare post-release revisions could theoretically challenge this positioning, though historical base rates show minimal adjustments; traders now eye May CPI on June 10 for Federal Reserve policy signals.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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