March 2026 CPI's unexpected surge to 3.3% year-over-year—up from February's 2.4% and driven by a 21.2% gasoline spike—has anchored Polymarket trader consensus around 3.5-3.8% for April's annual reading, with 3.6% holding a 30.5% implied probability amid tight competition from 3.7% (21.8%) and 3.8% (17.9%). Elevated energy costs and sticky shelter inflation outweigh cooling core trends, per Cleveland Fed nowcasting at roughly 3.4-3.6%, while base effects could nudge outcomes higher or lower. FOMC minutes highlight persistent above-target pressures, tempering rate-cut bets and boosting Treasury yields. Resolution hinges on May 12 BLS release, where volatile oil prices represent the key swing factor in this closely contested market.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$67,538 거래량
$67,538 거래량
2026.05.12
3.1% 이하
1%
3.2%
2%
3.3%
2%
3.4%
2%
3.5%
16%
3.6%
31%
3.7%
22%
3.8%
19%
3.9%
4%
4.0%
2%
4.1% 이상
3%
$67,538 거래량
$67,538 거래량
2026.05.12
3.1% 이하
$5,454 거래량
1%
3.2%
$2,395 거래량
2%
3.3%
$2,985 거래량
2%
3.4%
$3,718 거래량
2%
3.5%
$1,981 거래량
16%
3.6%
$5,874 거래량
31%
3.7%
$3,323 거래량
22%
3.8%
$17,050 거래량
19%
3.9%
$11,050 거래량
4%
4.0%
$4,464 거래량
2%
4.1% 이상
$9,246 거래량
3%
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending April 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in April 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on May 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.March 2026 CPI's unexpected surge to 3.3% year-over-year—up from February's 2.4% and driven by a 21.2% gasoline spike—has anchored Polymarket trader consensus around 3.5-3.8% for April's annual reading, with 3.6% holding a 30.5% implied probability amid tight competition from 3.7% (21.8%) and 3.8% (17.9%). Elevated energy costs and sticky shelter inflation outweigh cooling core trends, per Cleveland Fed nowcasting at roughly 3.4-3.6%, while base effects could nudge outcomes higher or lower. FOMC minutes highlight persistent above-target pressures, tempering rate-cut bets and boosting Treasury yields. Resolution hinges on May 12 BLS release, where volatile oil prices represent the key swing factor in this closely contested market.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending April 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in April 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on May 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in April 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on May 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
마켓 개설일: Apr 10, 2026, 4:52 PM ET
거래량
$67,538종료일
2026.05.12마켓 개설일
Apr 10, 2026, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending April 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in April 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on May 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.March 2026 CPI's unexpected surge to 3.3% year-over-year—up from February's 2.4% and driven by a 21.2% gasoline spike—has anchored Polymarket trader consensus around 3.5-3.8% for April's annual reading, with 3.6% holding a 30.5% implied probability amid tight competition from 3.7% (21.8%) and 3.8% (17.9%). Elevated energy costs and sticky shelter inflation outweigh cooling core trends, per Cleveland Fed nowcasting at roughly 3.4-3.6%, while base effects could nudge outcomes higher or lower. FOMC minutes highlight persistent above-target pressures, tempering rate-cut bets and boosting Treasury yields. Resolution hinges on May 12 BLS release, where volatile oil prices represent the key swing factor in this closely contested market.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending April 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in April 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on May 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in April 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on May 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
거래량
$67,538종료일
2026.05.12마켓 개설일
Apr 10, 2026, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...March 2026 CPI's unexpected surge to 3.3% year-over-year—up from February's 2.4% and driven by a 21.2% gasoline spike—has anchored Polymarket trader consensus around 3.5-3.8% for April's annual reading, with 3.6% holding a 30.5% implied probability amid tight competition from 3.7% (21.8%) and 3.8% (17.9%). Elevated energy costs and sticky shelter inflation outweigh cooling core trends, per Cleveland Fed nowcasting at roughly 3.4-3.6%, while base effects could nudge outcomes higher or lower. FOMC minutes highlight persistent above-target pressures, tempering rate-cut bets and boosting Treasury yields. Resolution hinges on May 12 BLS release, where volatile oil prices represent the key swing factor in this closely contested market.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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