Canada's federal government has tightened immigration policy through the 2026-2028 Immigration Levels Plan, capping permanent resident admissions at 380,000 annually while sharply cutting new temporary resident targets to 385,000 for 2026. These measures aim to reduce the non-permanent resident share of the population below 5 percent by the end of 2027 and address strains on housing and public services. Parliamentary Budget Office projections and Statistics Canada data indicate flat or slightly negative population growth for 2026, marking the second consecutive year of near-zero change after net outflows of temporary residents exceeded inflows. This policy-driven slowdown in net migration, following earlier rapid growth, underpins trader consensus favoring a population decline this year.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Up
Up
This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Jan 27, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Canada's federal government has tightened immigration policy through the 2026-2028 Immigration Levels Plan, capping permanent resident admissions at 380,000 annually while sharply cutting new temporary resident targets to 385,000 for 2026. These measures aim to reduce the non-permanent resident share of the population below 5 percent by the end of 2027 and address strains on housing and public services. Parliamentary Budget Office projections and Statistics Canada data indicate flat or slightly negative population growth for 2026, marking the second consecutive year of near-zero change after net outflows of temporary residents exceeded inflows. This policy-driven slowdown in net migration, following earlier rapid growth, underpins trader consensus favoring a population decline this year.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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