Alberta separatists' citizen initiative petition, led by groups like Stay Free Alberta, claimed to surpass the 177,732-signature threshold on March 31, 2026, potentially forcing a provincial referendum on independence before October's ballot, driving trader consensus to 67.5% for Yes despite low public support for secession around 20-30%. A court-ordered pause on signature verification followed on April 10 amid First Nations' injunctions alleging treaty rights violations, echoing a December 2025 ruling deeming prior efforts unconstitutional. Premier Danielle Smith's February announcement of an official October 19 referendum on immigration controls and constitutional amendments to bolster provincial rights has amplified speculation, amid ongoing federal-provincial tensions over resources and jurisdiction under Prime Minister Carney. Resolution hinges on court outcomes and legislative debate.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$350,531 거래량
$350,531 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$350,531 거래량
$350,531 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any provincial government in Canada officially schedules a referendum concerning the province’s potential secession from Canada, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any referendum that establishes the province's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify, whether the referendum is binding or non-binding.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Alberta separatists' citizen initiative petition, led by groups like Stay Free Alberta, claimed to surpass the 177,732-signature threshold on March 31, 2026, potentially forcing a provincial referendum on independence before October's ballot, driving trader consensus to 67.5% for Yes despite low public support for secession around 20-30%. A court-ordered pause on signature verification followed on April 10 amid First Nations' injunctions alleging treaty rights violations, echoing a December 2025 ruling deeming prior efforts unconstitutional. Premier Danielle Smith's February announcement of an official October 19 referendum on immigration controls and constitutional amendments to bolster provincial rights has amplified speculation, amid ongoing federal-provincial tensions over resources and jurisdiction under Prime Minister Carney. Resolution hinges on court outcomes and legislative debate.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any provincial government in Canada officially schedules a referendum concerning the province’s potential secession from Canada, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any referendum that establishes the province's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify, whether the referendum is binding or non-binding.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Any referendum that establishes the province's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify, whether the referendum is binding or non-binding.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Nov 5, 2025, 2:24 PM ET
거래량
$350,531종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 5, 2025, 2:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any provincial government in Canada officially schedules a referendum concerning the province’s potential secession from Canada, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any referendum that establishes the province's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify, whether the referendum is binding or non-binding.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Alberta separatists' citizen initiative petition, led by groups like Stay Free Alberta, claimed to surpass the 177,732-signature threshold on March 31, 2026, potentially forcing a provincial referendum on independence before October's ballot, driving trader consensus to 67.5% for Yes despite low public support for secession around 20-30%. A court-ordered pause on signature verification followed on April 10 amid First Nations' injunctions alleging treaty rights violations, echoing a December 2025 ruling deeming prior efforts unconstitutional. Premier Danielle Smith's February announcement of an official October 19 referendum on immigration controls and constitutional amendments to bolster provincial rights has amplified speculation, amid ongoing federal-provincial tensions over resources and jurisdiction under Prime Minister Carney. Resolution hinges on court outcomes and legislative debate.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any provincial government in Canada officially schedules a referendum concerning the province’s potential secession from Canada, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any referendum that establishes the province's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify, whether the referendum is binding or non-binding.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Any referendum that establishes the province's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify, whether the referendum is binding or non-binding.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$350,531종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 5, 2025, 2:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Alberta separatists' citizen initiative petition, led by groups like Stay Free Alberta, claimed to surpass the 177,732-signature threshold on March 31, 2026, potentially forcing a provincial referendum on independence before October's ballot, driving trader consensus to 67.5% for Yes despite low public support for secession around 20-30%. A court-ordered pause on signature verification followed on April 10 amid First Nations' injunctions alleging treaty rights violations, echoing a December 2025 ruling deeming prior efforts unconstitutional. Premier Danielle Smith's February announcement of an official October 19 referendum on immigration controls and constitutional amendments to bolster provincial rights has amplified speculation, amid ongoing federal-provincial tensions over resources and jurisdiction under Prime Minister Carney. Resolution hinges on court outcomes and legislative debate.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문