Recent polls position the Parti Québécois (PQ) as the frontrunner for the October 2026 Quebec general election due to consistent strength among Francophone voters and focus on sovereignty issues. The Quebec Liberal Party (PLQ) remains competitive in second place, drawing support particularly from non-Francophone voters, while the Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) has seen modest gains following Christine Fréchette’s selection as leader after François Legault’s resignation. These shifts have created a three-way dynamic in voting intentions, though PQ leads in most surveys conducted in May and June 2026. Trader consensus reflected in current market prices aligns with PQ’s polling edge and path to a majority in the National Assembly, tempered by the possibility of late swings in a still-fluid campaign environment.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트퀘벡당 61%
PLQ 25%
퀘벡 미래 연합(CAQ) 16%
PCQ <1%
$577,851 거래량
$577,851 거래량

퀘벡당
61%

PLQ
25%

퀘벡 미래 연합(CAQ)
16%

PCQ
<1%

PVQ
<1%

QS
<1%
퀘벡당 61%
PLQ 25%
퀘벡 미래 연합(CAQ) 16%
PCQ <1%
$577,851 거래량
$577,851 거래량

퀘벡당
61%

PLQ
25%

퀘벡 미래 연합(CAQ)
16%

PCQ
<1%

PVQ
<1%

QS
<1%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
마켓 개설일: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polls position the Parti Québécois (PQ) as the frontrunner for the October 2026 Quebec general election due to consistent strength among Francophone voters and focus on sovereignty issues. The Quebec Liberal Party (PLQ) remains competitive in second place, drawing support particularly from non-Francophone voters, while the Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) has seen modest gains following Christine Fréchette’s selection as leader after François Legault’s resignation. These shifts have created a three-way dynamic in voting intentions, though PQ leads in most surveys conducted in May and June 2026. Trader consensus reflected in current market prices aligns with PQ’s polling edge and path to a majority in the National Assembly, tempered by the possibility of late swings in a still-fluid campaign environment.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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