Recent polls, including Liaison Strategies (April 27, released May 5), show the Parti Québécois (PQ) tied with the Parti Libéral du Québec (PLQ) at 32% vote intentions, ahead of Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) at 16%, as the race tightens five months before the October 5 deadline. Aggregators like 338Canada and Qc125 project PQ securing a majority (64 seats) due to regional strength among francophones in Quebec City, Saguenay-Lac-Saint-Jean, and outer regions, where first-past-the-post amplifies their support despite PLQ leads in Montreal. CAQ languishes post-François Legault's January resignation and Christine Fréchette's April leadership win, lacking recovery. Trader consensus prices PQ's path to most seats at 66.5%, reflecting simulation models' emphasis on vote efficiency over raw popular support.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트퀘벡당 67%
PLQ 26%
퀘벡 미래 연합(CAQ) 9%
PCQ <1%
$481,535 거래량
$481,535 거래량
2026.10.05
퀘벡당
67%
PLQ
26%
퀘벡 미래 연합(CAQ)
9%
PCQ
<1%
PVQ
<1%
QS
<1%
퀘벡당 67%
PLQ 26%
퀘벡 미래 연합(CAQ) 9%
PCQ <1%
$481,535 거래량
$481,535 거래량
2026.10.05
퀘벡당
$50,432 거래량
67%
PLQ
$55,316 거래량
26%
퀘벡 미래 연합(CAQ)
$55,340 거래량
9%
PCQ
$153,582 거래량
<1%
PVQ
$112,853 거래량
<1%
QS
$54,013 거래량
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polls, including Liaison Strategies (April 27, released May 5), show the Parti Québécois (PQ) tied with the Parti Libéral du Québec (PLQ) at 32% vote intentions, ahead of Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) at 16%, as the race tightens five months before the October 5 deadline. Aggregators like 338Canada and Qc125 project PQ securing a majority (64 seats) due to regional strength among francophones in Quebec City, Saguenay-Lac-Saint-Jean, and outer regions, where first-past-the-post amplifies their support despite PLQ leads in Montreal. CAQ languishes post-François Legault's January resignation and Christine Fréchette's April leadership win, lacking recovery. Trader consensus prices PQ's path to most seats at 66.5%, reflecting simulation models' emphasis on vote efficiency over raw popular support.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
마켓 개설일: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
거래량
$481,535종료일
2026.10.05마켓 개설일
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polls, including Liaison Strategies (April 27, released May 5), show the Parti Québécois (PQ) tied with the Parti Libéral du Québec (PLQ) at 32% vote intentions, ahead of Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) at 16%, as the race tightens five months before the October 5 deadline. Aggregators like 338Canada and Qc125 project PQ securing a majority (64 seats) due to regional strength among francophones in Quebec City, Saguenay-Lac-Saint-Jean, and outer regions, where first-past-the-post amplifies their support despite PLQ leads in Montreal. CAQ languishes post-François Legault's January resignation and Christine Fréchette's April leadership win, lacking recovery. Trader consensus prices PQ's path to most seats at 66.5%, reflecting simulation models' emphasis on vote efficiency over raw popular support.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
거래량
$481,535종료일
2026.10.05마켓 개설일
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polls, including Liaison Strategies (April 27, released May 5), show the Parti Québécois (PQ) tied with the Parti Libéral du Québec (PLQ) at 32% vote intentions, ahead of Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) at 16%, as the race tightens five months before the October 5 deadline. Aggregators like 338Canada and Qc125 project PQ securing a majority (64 seats) due to regional strength among francophones in Quebec City, Saguenay-Lac-Saint-Jean, and outer regions, where first-past-the-post amplifies their support despite PLQ leads in Montreal. CAQ languishes post-François Legault's January resignation and Christine Fréchette's April leadership win, lacking recovery. Trader consensus prices PQ's path to most seats at 66.5%, reflecting simulation models' emphasis on vote efficiency over raw popular support.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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