Recent polls from May 2026 show the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead or tie with the Quebec Liberal Party at 28-32% support, ahead of the Coalition Avenir Québec at 20-22%, positioning the PQ as the consensus favorite to secure the most seats on October 5. The CAQ has gained ground following François Legault’s resignation and the selection of Christine Fréchette as leader, narrowing but not closing the gap in a three-way contest driven by Francophone voter preferences and regional dynamics. The PLQ remains competitive through concentrated support in urban and non-Francophone areas, while smaller parties trail far behind. Trader pricing reflects these polling trends and the first-past-the-post system’s tendency to reward modest popular-vote edges with legislative majorities, with the outcome still sensitive to the final months of campaigning.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트퀘벡당 62%
PLQ 25%
퀘벡 미래 연합(CAQ) 16%
PCQ <1%
$532,106 거래량
$532,106 거래량
2026.10.05
퀘벡당
62%
PLQ
25%
퀘벡 미래 연합(CAQ)
16%
PCQ
<1%
QS
<1%
PVQ
<1%
퀘벡당 62%
PLQ 25%
퀘벡 미래 연합(CAQ) 16%
PCQ <1%
$532,106 거래량
$532,106 거래량
2026.10.05
퀘벡당
$55,011 거래량
62%
PLQ
$57,718 거래량
25%
퀘벡 미래 연합(CAQ)
$63,800 거래량
16%
PCQ
$165,277 거래량
<1%
QS
$69,140 거래량
<1%
PVQ
$121,160 거래량
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polls from May 2026 show the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead or tie with the Quebec Liberal Party at 28-32% support, ahead of the Coalition Avenir Québec at 20-22%, positioning the PQ as the consensus favorite to secure the most seats on October 5. The CAQ has gained ground following François Legault’s resignation and the selection of Christine Fréchette as leader, narrowing but not closing the gap in a three-way contest driven by Francophone voter preferences and regional dynamics. The PLQ remains competitive through concentrated support in urban and non-Francophone areas, while smaller parties trail far behind. Trader pricing reflects these polling trends and the first-past-the-post system’s tendency to reward modest popular-vote edges with legislative majorities, with the outcome still sensitive to the final months of campaigning.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
마켓 개설일: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
거래량
$532,106종료일
2026.10.05마켓 개설일
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polls from May 2026 show the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead or tie with the Quebec Liberal Party at 28-32% support, ahead of the Coalition Avenir Québec at 20-22%, positioning the PQ as the consensus favorite to secure the most seats on October 5. The CAQ has gained ground following François Legault’s resignation and the selection of Christine Fréchette as leader, narrowing but not closing the gap in a three-way contest driven by Francophone voter preferences and regional dynamics. The PLQ remains competitive through concentrated support in urban and non-Francophone areas, while smaller parties trail far behind. Trader pricing reflects these polling trends and the first-past-the-post system’s tendency to reward modest popular-vote edges with legislative majorities, with the outcome still sensitive to the final months of campaigning.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
거래량
$532,106종료일
2026.10.05마켓 개설일
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polls from May 2026 show the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead or tie with the Quebec Liberal Party at 28-32% support, ahead of the Coalition Avenir Québec at 20-22%, positioning the PQ as the consensus favorite to secure the most seats on October 5. The CAQ has gained ground following François Legault’s resignation and the selection of Christine Fréchette as leader, narrowing but not closing the gap in a three-way contest driven by Francophone voter preferences and regional dynamics. The PLQ remains competitive through concentrated support in urban and non-Francophone areas, while smaller parties trail far behind. Trader pricing reflects these polling trends and the first-past-the-post system’s tendency to reward modest popular-vote edges with legislative majorities, with the outcome still sensitive to the final months of campaigning.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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