Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 66.5% implied probability against a Bank of Canada policy rate hike in 2026, driven by the central bank's March 18 decision to hold the overnight rate steady at 2.25%—its neutral stance amid cooling inflation and modest growth. February CPI eased to 1.8% year-over-year from 2.3% in January, below the 2% target, supporting expectations of sustained accommodation as outlined in the January Monetary Policy Report projecting 1¼% GDP growth. Markets anticipate no hikes through year-end, with some forecasts steady into 2027 barring trade tensions or inflation rebounds. Key catalysts include the April 29 rate announcement and accompanying Monetary Policy Report, plus March CPI data influencing policy path.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Bank of Canada (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Mar 11, 2026, 5:51 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Bank of Canada (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 66.5% implied probability against a Bank of Canada policy rate hike in 2026, driven by the central bank's March 18 decision to hold the overnight rate steady at 2.25%—its neutral stance amid cooling inflation and modest growth. February CPI eased to 1.8% year-over-year from 2.3% in January, below the 2% target, supporting expectations of sustained accommodation as outlined in the January Monetary Policy Report projecting 1¼% GDP growth. Markets anticipate no hikes through year-end, with some forecasts steady into 2027 barring trade tensions or inflation rebounds. Key catalysts include the April 29 rate announcement and accompanying Monetary Policy Report, plus March CPI data influencing policy path.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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