Polymarket traders assign a 97.3% implied probability to no change in the Bank of England base rate at the upcoming April 30 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, reflecting resilient UK economic data amid persistent inflation pressures. February CPI held steady at 3.0%—well above the 2% target—fueled by energy price surges from Middle East conflicts, while GDP expanded 0.5% month-on-month, exceeding forecasts. Firms' price expectations jumped sharply per the latest Decision Maker Panel survey, reinforcing the March unanimous hold at 3.75%. A realistic challenge would require softer-than-expected March CPI data due April 22 or cooling wage growth to signal disinflation, potentially prompting a 25 basis point cut despite low 0.1% odds.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트변동 없음 97.3%
인상 2.2%
50bp 이상 인하 <1%
25bp 인하 <1%
$483,420 거래량
$483,420 거래량
2026.04.30
50bp 이상 인하
<1%
25bp 인하
<1%
변동 없음
97%
인상
2%
변동 없음 97.3%
인상 2.2%
50bp 이상 인하 <1%
25bp 인하 <1%
$483,420 거래량
$483,420 거래량
2026.04.30
50bp 이상 인하
$79,610 거래량
<1%
25bp 인하
$162,226 거래량
<1%
변동 없음
$124,145 거래량
97%
인상
$117,439 거래량
2%
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for April 2026 is scheduled to be released on April 30, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's April 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders assign a 97.3% implied probability to no change in the Bank of England base rate at the upcoming April 30 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, reflecting resilient UK economic data amid persistent inflation pressures. February CPI held steady at 3.0%—well above the 2% target—fueled by energy price surges from Middle East conflicts, while GDP expanded 0.5% month-on-month, exceeding forecasts. Firms' price expectations jumped sharply per the latest Decision Maker Panel survey, reinforcing the March unanimous hold at 3.75%. A realistic challenge would require softer-than-expected March CPI data due April 22 or cooling wage growth to signal disinflation, potentially prompting a 25 basis point cut despite low 0.1% odds.
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for April 2026 is scheduled to be released on April 30, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's April 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's April 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
마켓 개설일: Feb 6, 2026, 5:23 PM ET
거래량
$483,420종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Feb 6, 2026, 5:23 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for April 2026 is scheduled to be released on April 30, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's April 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders assign a 97.3% implied probability to no change in the Bank of England base rate at the upcoming April 30 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, reflecting resilient UK economic data amid persistent inflation pressures. February CPI held steady at 3.0%—well above the 2% target—fueled by energy price surges from Middle East conflicts, while GDP expanded 0.5% month-on-month, exceeding forecasts. Firms' price expectations jumped sharply per the latest Decision Maker Panel survey, reinforcing the March unanimous hold at 3.75%. A realistic challenge would require softer-than-expected March CPI data due April 22 or cooling wage growth to signal disinflation, potentially prompting a 25 basis point cut despite low 0.1% odds.
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for April 2026 is scheduled to be released on April 30, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's April 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's April 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
거래량
$483,420종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Feb 6, 2026, 5:23 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders assign a 97.3% implied probability to no change in the Bank of England base rate at the upcoming April 30 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, reflecting resilient UK economic data amid persistent inflation pressures. February CPI held steady at 3.0%—well above the 2% target—fueled by energy price surges from Middle East conflicts, while GDP expanded 0.5% month-on-month, exceeding forecasts. Firms' price expectations jumped sharply per the latest Decision Maker Panel survey, reinforcing the March unanimous hold at 3.75%. A realistic challenge would require softer-than-expected March CPI data due April 22 or cooling wage growth to signal disinflation, potentially prompting a 25 basis point cut despite low 0.1% odds.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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