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Which Super Tuesday states will Trump win?

Market icon

Which Super Tuesday states will Trump win?

$1,369,488 Vol.

Mar 4, 2024
Polymarket

$1,369,488 Vol.

Polymarket
Market icon

Alabama

$10,864 Vol.

Yes

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Alaska

$106,250 Vol.

Yes

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Arkansas

$31,742 Vol.

Yes

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California

$173,012 Vol.

Yes

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Colorado

$159,409 Vol.

Yes

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Maine

$14,428 Vol.

Yes

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Massachusetts

$33,740 Vol.

Yes

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Minnesota

$93,121 Vol.

Yes

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North Carolina

$57,625 Vol.

Yes

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Oklahoma

$128,806 Vol.

Yes

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Tennessee

$62,146 Vol.

Yes

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Texas

$130,555 Vol.

Yes

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Utah

$53,837 Vol.

Yes

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Vermont

$233,416 Vol.

No

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Virginia

$80,536 Vol.

Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if former president Donald J. Trump wins the greatest number of votes in the 2024 Alabama Republican presidential primary. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the state's Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
볼륨
$1,369,488
종료일
Mar 5, 2024
생성일
Mar 5, 2024, 1:18 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if former president Donald J. Trump wins the greatest number of votes in the 2024 Alabama Republican presidential primary. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the state's Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

제안된 결과: Yes

이의 없음

최종 결과: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Which Super Tuesday states will Trump win?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Alabama" at 100%, followed by "Alaska" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Which Super Tuesday states will Trump win?" has generated $1.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 5, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Which Super Tuesday states will Trump win?," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Which Super Tuesday states will Trump win?" is "Alabama" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alaska" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Which Super Tuesday states will Trump win?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.