Skip to main content
Market icon

US strikes Iran by...?

Market icon

US strikes Iran by...?

$529,033,417 거래량

2026.01.31
Polymarket

$529,033,417 거래량

Polymarket

December 31

$19,193 거래량

No

January 11

$3,035,454 거래량

No

January 12

$1,743,135 거래량

No

January 13

$3,335,543 거래량

No

January 14

$13,619,742 거래량

No

January 15

$7,975,002 거래량

No

January 16

$8,491,723 거래량

No

January 17

$3,823,998 거래량

No

January 18

$5,468,913 거래량

No

January 23

$12,296,618 거래량

No

January 24

$2,924,662 거래량

No

January 25

$2,703,692 거래량

No

January 26

$6,908,538 거래량

No

January 27

$2,498,074 거래량

No

January 28

$1,950,685 거래량

No

January 29

$3,064,539 거래량

No

January 30

$3,469,659 거래량

No

January 31

$41,754,060 거래량

No

February 1

$6,629,658 거래량

No

February 2

$4,246,232 거래량

No

February 3

$3,763,165 거래량

No

February 4

$3,844,340 거래량

No

February 5

$4,461,531 거래량

No

February 6

$9,750,256 거래량

No

February 7

$3,615,405 거래량

No

February 8

$3,821,142 거래량

No

February 9

$17,561,112 거래량

No

February 10

$10,496,937 거래량

No

February 11

$4,493,524 거래량

No

February 12

$4,187,886 거래량

No

February 13

$15,146,244 거래량

No

February 14

$4,140,716 거래량

No

February 15

$4,542,348 거래량

No

February 16

$4,855,990 거래량

No

February 17

$5,599,406 거래량

No

February 18

$7,408,763 거래량

No

February 19

$8,798,853 거래량

No

February 20

$18,810,054 거래량

No

February 21

$12,250,013 거래량

No

February 22

$12,611,170 거래량

No

February 23

$14,022,419 거래량

No

February 24

$16,942,274 거래량

No

February 25

$10,517,389 거래량

No

February 26

$14,489,547 거래량

No

February 27

$25,087,849 거래량

No

February 28

$89,652,867 거래량

Yes

March 1

$8,093,539 거래량

Yes

March 2

$3,812,922 거래량

Yes

March 3

$1,917,863 거래량

Yes

March 4

$1,376,485 거래량

Yes

March 5

$1,565,799 거래량

Yes

March 6

$1,008,204 거래량

Yes

March 7

$2,470,666 거래량

Yes

March 8

$539,454 거래량

Yes

March 9

$379,810 거래량

Yes

March 10

$269,970 거래량

Yes

March 11

$190,483 거래량

Yes

March 12

$197,658 거래량

Yes

March 13

$283,107 거래량

Yes

March 14

$357,946 거래량

Yes

March 15

$6,642,886 거래량

Yes

March 31

$22,213,247 거래량

Yes

June 30

$9,193,272 거래량

Yes

December 31

$1,689,785 거래량

Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes"). Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").

Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.

Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$529,033,417
종료일
2026.06.30
마켓 개설일
Jan 11, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes"). Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

결과 제안됨: No

이의 없음

최종 결과: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes"). Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").

Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.

Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$529,033,417
종료일
2026.06.30
마켓 개설일
Jan 11, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes"). Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

결과 제안됨: No

이의 없음

최종 결과: No

외부 링크에 주의하세요.

자주 묻는 질문

"US strikes Iran by...?"은 64+개의 가능한 결과가 있는 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 어떤 결과가 발생할지에 따라 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 선두 결과는 100%의 "February 28"이며, 이어서 100%의 "March 1"입니다. 가격은 실시간 크라우드소싱 확률을 반영합니다. 예를 들어 100¢에 거래되는 주식은 마켓이 해당 결과에 100%의 확률을 부여함을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

오늘 현재 "US strikes Iran by...?"은 총 $529 million의 거래량을 생성했습니다 마켓이 Dec 22, 2025에 시작된 이후. 이 수준의 거래 활동은 Polymarket 커뮤니티의 강한 참여를 반영하며 현재 확률이 깊은 참가자 풀에 의해 정보에 기반하도록 보장합니다. 이 페이지에서 실시간 가격 변동을 추적하고 모든 결과에 직접 거래할 수 있습니다.

"US strikes Iran by...?"에서 거래하려면 이 페이지에 나열된 64+개의 가용 결과를 탐색하세요. 각 결과에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타내는 현재 가격이 표시됩니다. 포지션을 잡으려면 가장 가능성이 높다고 생각하는 결과를 선택하고, 찬성이면 "Yes", 반대이면 "No"를 선택하고, 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 마켓이 정산될 때 선택한 결과가 맞으면 "Yes" 주식은 각 $1을 지급합니다. 틀리면 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

"US strikes Iran by...?"의 현재 유력 후보는 100%의 "February 28"이며, 마켓이 해당 결과에 100%의 확률을 부여합니다. 두 번째로 가까운 결과는 100%의 "March 1"입니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들의 주식 매수 및 매도에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트되어 가장 가능성 있는 결과에 대한 최신 집단 시각을 반영합니다. 새로운 정보가 나타남에 따라 확률이 어떻게 변화하는지 자주 확인하거나 이 페이지를 북마크하세요.

"US strikes Iran by...?"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.